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From: Angelo Zago (ernad)
Date: 04/22/05


----------------------------------------------------------------------------
NEP: New Economics Papers
Agricultural Economics
----------------------------------------------------------------------------

Edited by: Angelo Zago
           
           Universita degli Studi di Verona
Date:      2005-04-16
Papers:	   24

This document is in the public domain, feel free to circulate it.

   +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
   + Access to full-text contents may be restricted. +
   +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

 
In this issue we have:
----------------------------------------------------------------------------

1. Crop Choice, Farm Income, and Political Relations in Myanmar
     Takashi Kurosaki
 
2. Food Insecurity in India: Causes and Dimensions
     Chakravarty Sujoy; Dand Sejal A
 
3. Impact of Ownership Structure on the Performance of China?s 
   Feed Mill Sector, The
     Fabiosa, Jacinto F.
 
4. Labeling Regulations and Segregation of First- and Second-
   Generation Genetically Modified Products: Innovation 
   Incentives and Welfare Effects
     Moschini, GianCarlo; Lapan, Harvey E.
 
5. Fisheries Management with Stock Uncertainty and Costly 
   Capital Adjustment: Extended Appendix
     Doyle, Matthew; Singh, Rajesh; Weninger, Quinn
 
6. Why do parents their children work ? A test of peverty 
   hypothesis in rural areas in Brukina Faso
     Dumas Christelle
 
7. Economic Crisis and Trade Liberalization: A CGE Analysis On 
   The Forestry Sector
     Tubagus Feridhanusetyawan; Yose Rizal Damuri
 
8. Agricultural-Forestry Linkages: Development Of Timber And 
   Tree Crop Plantations Towards Sustainable Natural Forests
     Erwidodo; Satria Astana
 
9. Economic Adjustment and the Forestry Sector: Does Removing 
   the Log Export Ban Matter Much?
     Arya B. Gaduh; Kurnya Roesad
 
10. Livelihoods and Farm Efficiency in Rural Georgia
     Kelvin_Balcombe; Dirk_Bezemer; Junior_Davis; Iain_Fraser
 
11. Have Price Policies Damaged LDC Agricultural Productivity?
     Lilyan E. Fulginiti; Richard K. Perrin
 
12. Institutions and Agricultural Productivity in Sub-Saharan 
    Africa
     Lilyan E. Fulginiti; Richard K. Perrin; Bingxin Yu
 
13. Accounting for Agricultural Decline with Economic Growth in 
    Taiwan
     Ling Sun; Lilyan E. Fulginiti; E. Wesley Peterson
 
14. LDC Agriculture: Non-parametric Malmquist productivity 
    indexes
     Lilyan E. Fulginiti; Richard K. Perrin
 
15. A Game Theoretical Model of Land Contract Choice
     Am?rico Mendes
 
16. Performance of Agriculture in the Changing Structure of the 
    Orissa Economy: Issues Revisited
     Manoranjan Pattanayak; Bibhu Prasad Nayak
 
17. Agricultural Protectionism: Debt Problems and the Doha Round
     Julio J. Nogues
 
18. Forest owners? collective action against the risk of 
    forest fire: a game theoretical approach
     Am?rico Mendes
 
19. Issues on Agricultural Negotiations in the FTAA and Linkages 
    With the Doha Round
     Julio J. Nogues
 
20. Agricultural Protection in Developing Countries
     Lilyan E. Fulginiti; Jason F. Shogren
 
21. Public Inputs and Productivty in the Agricultural Sector: A 
    Dynamic Dual Approach
     Alejandro Onofri; Lilyan E. Fulginiti
 
22. Organic Apple Production in Washington State: An Input-
    Output Analysis
     Pon Nya Mon; David W. Holland
 
23. Intervention and Production Sector Waste in LDC Agriculture
     Lilyan E. Fulginiti; Richard K. Perrin
 
24. Crop Diversification in Orissa: A Spatio-Temporal Analysis
     Manoranjan Pattanayak; Bibhu Prasad Nayak
 
----------------------------------------------------------------------------

1. Crop Choice, Farm Income, and Political Relations in Myanmar
  
    Takashi Kurosaki

Myanmar's agricultural economy is in transition from a planned 
to a market system. However, the economy does not seem to capture 
the full gains of productivity growth expected from such a 
transition. Using a micro dataset collected in 2001 and covering 
more than 500 households in eight villages with diverse agro-
ecological environments, this paper shows that policy 
interventions in land use and agricultural marketing underlie the 
lack of income growth. Regression analyses focusing on within-
village variations in cropping patterns show that the acreage 
share under nonlucrative paddy crops is higher for farmers who 
are under tighter control of the local administration.
 
Keywords: reform, food policy, transitional economies, Asia, 
          Myanmar
Date:     2005-03
URL:      http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:hst:hstdps:d04-80&r=agr



2. Food Insecurity in India: Causes and Dimensions
  
    Chakravarty Sujoy
    Dand Sejal A

In this study we explore causes of the widespread food 
insecurity that prevails in India. It has been observed that even 
though the proportion of the malnourished fell by about 1 percent 
FAO, 2002) through the nineties in India, their absolute number 
increased by about 18 million. Thus the problem of food 
insecurity in India is not of general systemic failure that 
arises due to a supply shortage. It is in fact more a problem 
where certain sectors (mainly the rural agrarian population and 
the urban informal sector) suffer from a shortage of food in a 
general climate of increasing production. Delving deeper, we 
observe that the main determinants of food insecurity in India 
today are the shrinking of agrarian and informal sector incomes 
and failures (both due to policy framing as well as 
implementation) of support led measures to combat poverty. The 
latter include the near breakdown of the targeted public 
distribution system (TPDS) in most regions of the country. This 
study uses existing scholarly work in the area as well as 
conventional data sources in order to show the extent of food 
insecurity in India today and the logic of the different patterns 
of its causality.
 
Date:     2005-04-11
URL:      http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:iim:iimawp:2005-04-01&r=agr




3. Impact of Ownership Structure on the Performance of China?s 
   Feed Mill Sector, The
  
    Fabiosa, Jacinto F.

In the decade of the 1990s, China?s feed sector became 
increasingly privatized, more feed mills opened, and the scale of 
operation expanded. Capacity utilization remained low and multi-
ministerial supervision was still prevalent, but the feed mill 
sector showed a positive performance overall, posting a growth 
rate of 11 percent per year. Profit margin over sales was within 
allowable rates set by the government of China at 3 to 5 percent. 
Financial efficiency improved, with a 20 percent quicker turnover 
of working capital. Average technical efficiency was 0.805, as 
more efficient feed mills increasingly gained production shares. 
This study finds evidence that the increasing privatization 
explains the improved performance of the commercial feed mill 
sector. The drivers that shaped the feed mill sector in the 1990s 
have changed with China?s accession to the World Trade 
Organization. With the new policy regime in place, the study 
foresees that, assuming an adequate supply of soy meal and an 
excess capacity in the feed mill sector, it is likely that China 
will allow corn imports up to the tariff rate quota (TRQ) of 7.2 
mmt since the in-quota rate is very low at 1 percent. However, 
when the TRQ is exceeded, the import duty jumps to a prohibitive 
out-quota rate of 65 percent. With an import duty for meat of 
only 10 to 12 percent, China would have a strong incentive to 
import meat products directly rather than bringing in expensive 
corn to produce meat domestically. This would be further 
reinforced if structural transformation in the swine sector would 
narrow the cost differential between domestic and imported pork.
 
Date:     2005-04-04
URL:      http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:isu:genres:12270&r=agr



4. Labeling Regulations and Segregation of First- and Second-
   Generation Genetically Modified Products: Innovation 
   Incentives and Welfare Effects
  
    Moschini, GianCarlo
    Lapan, Harvey E.

We review some of the most significant issues and results on the 
economic effects of genetically modified (GM) product innovation, 
with emphasis on the question of GM labeling and the need for 
costly segregation and identity preservation activities. The 
analysis is organized around an explicit model that can 
accommodate the features of both first-generation and second-
generation GM products. The model accounts for the proprietary 
nature of GM innovations and for the critical role of consumer 
preferences vis-?-vis GM products, as well as for the impacts of 
segregation and identity preservation and the effects of a 
mandatory GM labeling regulation. We also investigate briefly a 
novel question in this setting, the choice of ?research 
direction?when both cost-reducing and quality-enhancing GM 
innovations are feasible.
 
JEL:      O3 D0 Q1
Date:     2005-04-11
URL:      http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:isu:genres:12275&r=agr



5. Fisheries Management with Stock Uncertainty and Costly 
   Capital Adjustment: Extended Appendix
  
    Doyle, Matthew
    Singh, Rajesh
    Weninger, Quinn

This Appendix is supplemntary to "Fisheries Management with 
Stock Uncertainty and Costly Capital Adjustment: An Application 
to Pacific Halibut" and "Fisheries Management with Stock 
Uncertainty and Costly Capital Adjustment"
 
JEL:      D2 Q2
Date:     2005-04-14
URL:      http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:isu:genres:12291&r=agr



6. Why do parents their children work ? A test of peverty 
   hypothesis in rural areas in Brukina Faso
  
    Dumas Christelle

This article aims at testing whether child labor is caused by 
poverty. Tests are designed for rural areas in a setting 
characterized by the absence of a labor market. A model of rural 
household labor supply is developed that provides testable 
implications of two different poverty hypotheses. We test if 
child labor is due to a binding subsistence constraint and if 
child leisure is a luxury good. We find that, in rural Burkina 
Faso, children provide labor mostly because of labor market 
imperfections and not because of household subsistence needs and 
that child leisure is a normal good.
 
Keywords: child labor, rural hoseholds, market imperfections, 
          poverty hypothesis
JEL:      D13 I32 J22 O12 Q12
Date:     2004-06
URL:      http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:lea:leawpi:0411&r=agr



7. Economic Crisis and Trade Liberalization: A CGE Analysis On 
   The Forestry Sector
  
    Tubagus Feridhanusetyawan (Department of Economics, Centre 
      for Strategic and International Studies)
    Yose Rizal Damuri (Department of Economics, Centre for 
      Strategic and International Studies)

This paper uses simulations based on a GTAP model to reproduce 
the economic crisis in Southeast Asia, and in particular in 
Indonesia. The model is a static-real sector model, so the focus 
of the simulation is on the declining investment and the 
declining prices of non-traded goods during the crisis. The 
simulation is conducted by creating an exogenous shock on risk 
premium in Indonesia, Thailand and Malaysia, which leads to 
smaller allocation of regional investment in these countries, 
lower stock of capital goods, and lower production. The second 
shock, which is the declining price of land and natural resource, 
opens the possibility of resource allocation between sectors in 
the economy. The results of the crisis simulation show that the 
declining overall GDP during the crisis is accompanied by 
declining productions of capital and labor-intensive commodities, 
and expansion of natural resource and land based sectors. Based 
on the simulation, the economic crisis is expected to lower 
production of forestry and forestry related manufacturing sectors,
mainly because these sectors are more capital or labor intensive,
rather than land or natural resource intensive. Consistent with 
the modeling exercise, the output of these sectors also declined 
in reality during the worst time of the crisis in 1997-99. The 
simulation results also show that the negative impact of the 
crisis on welfare, measured as the changes in equivalent 
variation, is serious. The second simulation in this study 
measures the impact of trade liberalization on the economy after 
the crisis. The results show that the potential benefit from 
trade liberalization is large, and larger than the welfare lost 
during the crisis. In other words, pursuing more progressive 
trade liberalization would speed up the economic recovery after 
the crisis by creating more opportunity to get the most benefit 
from the global economy.
 
Keywords: Southeast Asia, Indonesia, Asian crisis, forestry 
          sector, computable general equilibrium (CGE)
Date:     2004-02
URL:      http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:eab:macroe:62&r=agr



8. Agricultural-Forestry Linkages: Development Of Timber And 
   Tree Crop Plantations Towards Sustainable Natural Forests
  
    Erwidodo (Center for Agro Socioeconomic Research)
    Satria Astana (Center for Socioeconomic Research on Foresty, 
      Ministry of Forestry, Indonesia)

There are at least two problems left unsolved that calls for our 
attention, namely: (i) millions of hectare of logged over areas 
and most of them are degraded and others are underutilized and 
left unproductive, and (ii) high supply-demand gap of logs, due 
to a huge excess demand for logs and pulpwood. Industrial timber 
and estate crop plantations are considered to be the alternative 
way out towards reaching sustainable natural forest management. 
Evidence suggests that many logging companies are in fact more 
interested on clear-cutting timber than truly establishing the 
plantation. The main reason has been the need to get cheap timber 
for fulfilling an excess demand for pulpwood by pulp and paper 
industries. Many logging companies who also own estate crop 
plantations apply for a license to establish (timber or estate 
crop) plantation in the conversion area, clear the forest for 
logs and pulpwood, and eventually abandon the cleared land The 
paper presents a historical perspective of agricultural 
development in Indonesia, focusing on food and cash crop 
developments particularly in the outer islands of Indonesia. The 
authors explore agricultural-forestry linkage is highlighted in 
section present a discussion on further development of industrial 
timber and estate crop plantation as logical ways towards 
sustainable forest management in the future.
 
Keywords: Indonesia, forestry, agriculture, timber, estate crop, 
          sustainable forestry
Date:     2004-02
URL:      http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:eab:microe:59&r=agr



9. Economic Adjustment and the Forestry Sector: Does Removing 
   the Log Export Ban Matter Much?
  
    Arya B. Gaduh (Department of Economics, Centre for Strategic 
      and International Studies)
    Kurnya Roesad (Department of Economics, Centre for Strategic 
      and International Studies)

For most of the 1980s and 1990s, Indonesia?s forest industry 
was characterized by protectionist policies. The combination of a 
log-export ban and the enforcement of artificially low prices of 
logs by APKINDO had fostered the inefficient domestic wood-panel 
producers, while potentially killed off more efficient wood-panel 
producers abroad. The removal of APKINDO and the log export ban, 
as major parts of the IMF ? led economic reform agenda since 
1998 was expected to improve allocative efficiency in the wood 
? processing sector. However, the removal of these policies 
likely increased pressure on Indonesia?s forests. An 
artificially low price of logs reduces their supply, and 
henceforth, relieves pressures off forests. Taking away the ban 
gradually moves the prices back to the international level, hence 
increasing the rate of wood extraction. As such, absent other 
forms of intervention, we face a trade-off between economic 
efficiency and environmental sustainability of the log export ban 
policy. This paper is an attempt to describe, and quantify when 
possible, this trade-off empirically. It asks whether the log 
export ban has encouraged less efficient use of domestic logs and 
whether it has helped to reduce the rate of round wood extraction.
The empirical study suggests that the former did occur during 
the LEB and APKINDO regime of 1985-1997, while the latter cannot 
be shown empirically.
 
Keywords: Indonesia, log ban, crisis, adjustment, forestry 
          sector.
Date:     2004-02
URL:      http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:eab:microe:66&r=agr



10. Livelihoods and Farm Efficiency in Rural Georgia
  
    Kelvin_Balcombe (Imperial College)
    Dirk_Bezemer (University of Groningen)
    Junior_Davis (University of Greenwich)
    Iain_Fraser (Imperial College)

This paper contributes to the literature on the role of on rural 
livelihood strategies in rural growth and poverty reduction. It 
distinguishes between livelihood diversity strategies that 
contribute to sustainable growth in household incomes, and those 
that mainly have a 'coping' function. It suggests that typically, 
the contribution of livelihood diversity to growing household 
income is through relaxing dependence on credit for access to 
capital. In this scenario, livelihood diversity would lead to 
higher technical efficiency in agriculture via investment and 
thereby to higher household incomes. Survey data from Georgia are 
introduced and used to test these hypotheses using a Bayesian 
stochastic frontier approach. The findings are relevant to 
defining more clearly the scope and aims of policies to stimulate 
the rural non-farm economy in developing and transition countries.
 
Keywords: Livelihoods analysis; survey data; incomes; efficiency;
          Bayesian stochastic frontier approach
JEL:      Q
Date:     2005-02-10
URL:      http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:wpa:wuwpdc:0502005&r=agr



11. Have Price Policies Damaged LDC Agricultural Productivity?
  
    Lilyan E. Fulginiti (University of Nebraska)
    Richard K. Perrin (University of Nebraska)

This paper examines agricultural policies in 18 developing 
countries over the period 1961-1985. We measure productivity with 
both a nonparametric Malmquist index and a production function, 
confirming previous findings of declining agricultural 
productivity, but with sufficident inconsistencies as to raise 
concern about the adequacy of the methods. We nontehless find 
considerable support for the hypothesis that unfavorable price 
policies have damaged agricultural performance in these countries.
 
Keywords: Agricultural productivity, developing countries, price 
          policies
JEL:      O4 Q1
Date:     2005-02-28
URL:      http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:wpa:wuwpdc:0502020&r=agr



12. Institutions and Agricultural Productivity in Sub-Saharan 
    Africa
  
    Lilyan E. Fulginiti (University of Nebraska)
    Richard K. Perrin (University of Nebraska)
    Bingxin Yu (University of Nebraska)

Agricultural productivity in 41 Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) 
countries from 1960 to 1999 is examined by estimating a semi-
nonparametric Fourier production frontier. Over the four decades 
the estimated rate of productivity change was 0.83% per year, 
although the average rate from 1985-99 was a strong 1.90% per 
year. Former UK colonies exhibited significantly higher 
productivity gains than others, while Liberia and countries that 
had been colonies of Portugal or Belgium exhibited net reductions 
in productivity. We measure a significant reduction in 
productivity during political conflicts and wars, and a 
significant increase in productivity among those countries with 
higher levels of political rights and civil liberties.
 
Keywords: Sub-Saharan Africa, agricultural productivity, 
          institutions, stochastic frontier, Fourier functional 
          form.
JEL:      Q
Date:     2005-02-28
URL:      http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:wpa:wuwpdc:0502021&r=agr



13. Accounting for Agricultural Decline with Economic Growth in 
    Taiwan
  
    Ling Sun (Providence University)
    Lilyan E. Fulginiti (University of Nebraska)
    E. Wesley Peterson (University of Nebraska)

In this paper we propose an empirical model to decompose the 
evolution of the agricultural GDP share of Taiwan into three 
components: price changes, factor endowment changes and 
technological change. The full sample period is 1967 to 1997. The 
data were first tested to assess whether the time series are 
nonstationary and cointegrated. After confirming their 
nonstationarity and cointegrated relation- ship, we then employ 
an error correction model (ECM) in the empirical estimation to 
capture the dynamic as well as long-run equilibrium relationship 
among those economic variables. The results suggest that relative 
prices have a positive influence on the share of agriculture in 
GDP in both the long-run and the short-run. An increase in 
capital per unit of labor, on the other hand, is associated with 
a smaller agricultural share. This result is consistent with the 
Rybczynski Theorem. Technical change has been biased in favor of 
this sector. The strong negative impact of the change in factor 
endowments seems to dominate any possible positive effect of 
relative prices and technical change. This result makes a strong 
case for a Heckscher-Ohlin type model as a basis of understanding 
the development of the Taiwanese economy.
 
Keywords: Taiwan, productivity growth, GDP function, error 
          correction,
JEL:      O4 Q1
Date:     2005-02-28
URL:      http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:wpa:wuwpdc:0502022&r=agr



14. LDC Agriculture: Non-parametric Malmquist productivity 
    indexes
  
    Lilyan E. Fulginiti (University of Nebraska)
    Richard K. Perrin (University of Nebraska)

This paper examines changes in agricultural productivity in18 
developing countries over the period 1961-1985. We use the 
nonparametric, output- based Mamquist index to examine whether 
the results from such approach confirm results from other methods 
that have indicated declining agricultural productivity in less 
developed countries.
 
Keywords: Journal of Development Economics, vol. 53 (1997), 373-
          390
JEL:      O4 Q1
Date:     2005-02-28
URL:      http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:wpa:wuwpdc:0502025&r=agr



15. A Game Theoretical Model of Land Contract Choice
  
    Am?rico Mendes (Portuguese Catholic University Porto - 
      Faculty of Economics & Management)

In most of the land tenancy literature the type of contract is 
exogenous. Also even though these contracts vary a lot among 
farms, between regions and over time, the theoretical literature 
has not always acknowledged this idiosyncrasy. Building on the 
strategic bargaining theory initiated by Rubinstein, this model 
not only makes the type of contract endogenous, but also provides 
the surplus sharing rules and the conditions giving rise to each 
type of contract, showing how the type and terms of the contract 
are tailored to fit the characteristics of the parties and their 
economic environment. Pairwise bargaining is embedded into a 
market context by putting ?competitive pressure? on the 
players through the opportunity they have to break up bargaining 
and look for alternative partners. Because of this threat of 
opting out, the outcome of the bargaining process depends not 
only on the characteristics of the players, but also on events 
outside their match and the information they have about them. The 
model departs from price-taking assumptions. Type and terms of 
the contract result from negotiation and are shaped by the 
?relative bargaining powers? of the players whose relevant 
components are identified in a precise way in the model.
 
Keywords: land tenancy, contract choice, game theory
JEL:      C7 D8
Date:     2005-03-13
URL:      http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:wpa:wuwpga:0503001&r=agr



16. Performance of Agriculture in the Changing Structure of the 
    Orissa Economy: Issues Revisited
  
    Manoranjan Pattanayak (Jawaharlal Nehru University)
    Bibhu Prasad Nayak (Jawaharlal Nehru University)

The economy of Orissa is characterized by the dominance of 
agricultural sector. Agriculture continues to be the mainstay of 
the state's economy with contribution about 28.13 percent to net 
state domestic product during 2001-2002. The agriculture alone 
provides direct and indirect employment to around 65 percent of 
the total workforce of the state as per 2001 provisional census. 
Nevertheless, the sector is continues to be characterized by low 
productivity.Although the contribution of agriculture to state 
income has significantly declined, the percentage of work force 
engaged in agriculture has remained somewhat unchanged. This 
implies that there has been an overcrowding in agriculture 
without any perceptible increase in production. Therefore, 
agricultural growth holds the key to the overall development of 
the state by way of creating employment, generating income, 
providing raw materials to the industrial sector and last but not 
the least ensuring self-reliance in food production and food 
security to the deprived sections. In this paper, we have studied 
the pattern of structural change in the last two decades. It is 
observed that, while the share of Primary sector has gone down 
drastically in gross state domestic product in 90's vis-a- vis 
80's, the secondary or manufacturing sectors share is hovering 
around 17 percent throughout last fifty years. The only 
substantial change is occurred in service sector. In 1980, the 
share of service sector in GSDP was 30 percent. In 2000, it is 
reached at 45 percent. The issue at hand is that, while the share 
of primary sector has gone down in state income, it is not 
showing any trend of releasing labour force. In 1951, 72.86 
percent of total workforce was engaged in primary sector, also in 
1991, 72.9 percent is workforce is engaged there. Hence, 
whatsoever developmental effort has been undertaken by state, the 
fruit is unequally distributed as per capita income of service 
sector worker is much higher than primary sector. In this 
scenario, we have gone to explore the productivity in agriculture 
district wise. It is found that inter district variation in 
agricultural productivity is very high. Also, the input use in 
agriculture is skewed across the districts. In the plain and 
coastal land, the high productivity is explained by higher use of 
input. It is a vicious circle. Poverty reduces purchasing power i.
e. in our case low application of input, and this again leads to 
poverty due to low agricultural productivity. This gives a strong 
message. That is Orissa which is a typical rural based agrarian 
economy, any developmental effort without due consideration for 
agricultural improvement will be proved nullified. It is also 
shown that over the years, the plan outlay on agriculture has 
gone down which reflects the priority of state government. 
Finally, we have tried to explain the role of several input in 
explaining agricultural productivity and concluded the paper with 
few suggestions.
 
Keywords: Structural Change, Agricultural Productivity, Orissa 
          Economy, Panel data
JEL:      N55 O13
Date:     2005-02-26
URL:      http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:wpa:wuwpgt:0502073&r=agr



17. Agricultural Protectionism: Debt Problems and the Doha Round
  
    Julio J. Nogues (Universidad Di Tella)

Through financial channels, agricultural protectionism imposes 
costs on efficient producers that are higher than those 
associated with negative allocative effects and export losses 
usually estimated. The link between protectionism and finance has 
a direct relationship with the WTO Marrakech Agreement of 
establishing coherence between international trade and financial 
matters. Here, I call attention to the fact that for efficient 
agricultural exporters there is little if any coherence between 
the trading system and the international financial system that 
they face. I also present some numbers on the export losses from 
agricultural protectionism; describe the channels through which 
this protectionism increases financial costs; and analyze dynamic 
and poverty effects.
 
Keywords: WTO, Coherence Agricultural Protectionism, Debt 
          Problems
JEL:      F3 F4
Date:     2005-02-08
URL:      http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:wpa:wuwpif:0502005&r=agr



18. Forest owners? collective action against the risk of 
    forest fire: a game theoretical approach
  
    Am?rico Mendes (Portuguese Catholic University - Porto, 
      Faculty of Economics & Management)

This paper is a follow up on a earlier one (Mendes, 1998) where 
I proposed a series of models for forest owners associations 
represented as organisation made up of two groups of 
strategically interacting players: the forest owners who are 
members of the association and the board of directors they have 
elected. The directors decide on the amount of services provided 
by the association which can be public goods (collective 
representation of the members, promotion of their common 
interests, diffusion of general information about forest 
programmes and best forest management practices, etc.) and 
private goods and services (silvicultural works preventive of 
forest fires, technical advice, etc.). The models were set up as 
games in strategic form with complete information and no payoff 
uncertainty. Here I pick up the second of, what is called in that 
previous paper, the 'Portuguese' models and extend it in the 
following directions: - there is payoff risk for the forest 
owners due to exogenous hazards (forest fires or others); - 
forest owners can buy private services from the owners which 
contribute to reduce the losses resulting from those hazards. The 
main focus in this paper is to derive the comparative static 
results about the demand of these private services by the forest 
owners.
 
Keywords: forest owners? associations, public and private 
          goods joint supply, game theory
JEL:      L
Date:     2005-03-13
URL:      http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:wpa:wuwpio:0503005&r=agr



19. Issues on Agricultural Negotiations in the FTAA and Linkages 
    With the Doha Round
  
    Julio J. Nogues (Universidad Di Tella)

An FTAA that provides gains to all participants remains a major 
challenge for LA. Given the demanding pre-conditions required in 
these and other negotiations with industrial countries, I am 
unsure whether all LA countries will be able to confront this 
challenge successfully. It is of paramount importance that 
Governments can document clear net gains to their societies, 
because otherwise a few years down the road, regional relations 
may become soured by an under-performing FTAA.
 
Keywords: Latin America, FTAA negotiations, Agricultural 
          protectionism
JEL:      F1 F2
Date:     2005-02-08
URL:      http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:wpa:wuwpit:0502006&r=agr



20. Agricultural Protection in Developing Countries
  
    Lilyan E. Fulginiti (Iowa State University)
    Jason F. Shogren (Iowa State University)

The present paper explores why farmers are taxed in poor 
countries and subsidized in rich countries. Using the economic 
theory of contests to come to an understanding of the incentives 
for agricultural protectionism, we first sketch a framework for 
an excludable and rivalrous rent. We then apply this framework to 
agricultural protectionism in developing countries.
 
Keywords: Agricultural protection, public choice, collective 
          action, excludable and rivalrous rent, developing 
          countries
JEL:      Q
Date:     2005-02-28
URL:      http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:wpa:wuwpot:0502010&r=agr



21. Public Inputs and Productivty in the Agricultural Sector: A 
    Dynamic Dual Approach
  
    Alejandro Onofri (University of Nebraska)
    Lilyan E. Fulginiti (University of Nebraska)

This paper introduces a dynamic model of productivity 
measurement based on recent endogenous growth theories. The model 
presented in this study is based on dynamic duality theory and 
incorporate public goods (public capital and R&D) as external 
factors to the firms. It also rationalizes the provision of 
public inputs by a benevolent social planner that internalizes 
the effects of them. Moreover, the Le Chatelier principle is 
extended for this dynamic duality modelin which the public 
factors are quasi-fixed for the firm and all firm-specific inputs 
can be adjusted in the long run. Therefore, increasing returns to 
scale over all inputs can still be tested at the long-run 
equilibrium perceived by the firm. Additionally, this model 
permits deriving testable hypotheses related to the two 
conditions of endogenous growth theory mentioned above. The model 
is tested with data for the U.S. agricultural sector.
 
Keywords: endogenous growth, dynamic productivity, public goods, 
          duality, U.S. agriculture
JEL:      H54 O13 Q16
Date:     2005-02-28
URL:      http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:wpa:wuwpot:0502011&r=agr



22. Organic Apple Production in Washington State: An Input-
    Output Analysis
  
    Pon Nya Mon (Washington State University)
    David W. Holland (Washington State University)

This paper provides an Input-Output (I/O) based economic impact 
analysis for organic apple production in Washington State. The 
intent is to compare the economic ?ripple? effect of organic 
production with conventional production. The analysis is 
presented in two scenarios: first we compare the economic impact 
of organic versus conventional apple production for a l demand 
increase of one million US$ as measured in sales. The second 
analysis looks at the economic impact of organic and conventional 
apple production in terms of given unit of land (405 hectares of 
production). Both state-wide output (sales) and employment (jobs) 
impacts are estimated under each scenario. Results are presented 
in terms of direct, indirect, and induced economic impact. 
Organic apple production was more labor intensive than 
conventional production. While, the organic apple sector used 
less intermediate inputs per unit of output than conventional 
production it also produced higher returns to labor and capital. 
As a result, the indirect economic effect was lower for the 
organic sector than the conventional sector, but the induced 
economic effect was higher for organic. Given the organic price 
premium, the economic impact (direct, indirect and induced) was 
larger for organic apple production than conventional apple 
production.
 
Keywords: conventional and organic apple production, multiplier 
          effects, output, and employment effects, IMPLAN
JEL:      D58 R11
Date:     2005-03-22
URL:      http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:wpa:wuwpot:0503009&r=agr



23. Intervention and Production Sector Waste in LDC Agriculture
  
    Lilyan E. Fulginiti (University of Nebraska)
    Richard K. Perrin (University of Nebraska)

This study uses the quantity-based Allais-Debreu measure of loss 
to measure the waste, in output or resources, induced by 
interventions in the agricultural sector in 18 developing 
countries.
 
Keywords: Allais-Debreu, deadweight loss, LDC's, agricultural 
          taxation
JEL:      Q
Date:     2005-03-02
URL:      http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:wpa:wuwppe:0503001&r=agr



24. Crop Diversification in Orissa: A Spatio-Temporal Analysis
  
    Manoranjan Pattanayak (Jawaharlal Nehu University)
    Bibhu Prasad Nayak (Jawaharlal Nehu University)

The objective of this paper is to analyze the crop 
diversification and crop concentration in Orissa in the last one 
and half decade. It is pursued through measuring crop 
diversification and crop concentration index. We have used 
Herphindal and Entropy measure for crop diversification and 
locational quotient measure has been used to measure crop 
concentration. The result shows that in all most all districts, 
crop specialization is taking place and more so in the last phase 
of our study. Then employing an ordinary least square we have 
figured out the major determinants of crop diversification.
 
Keywords: Crop Diversification, Orissa agriculture, crop 
          concentration, spatio-temporal analysis
JEL:      N55 Q10
Date:     2005-02-26
URL:      http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:wpa:wuwpur:0502004&r=agr


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Wednesday, December 3, 2008

Pennsylvania


Dauphin County Edition

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Clear
Current Conditions in
Harrisburg, Pennsylvania

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Last Updated:10:56 PM EST December 2, 2008
Conditions:Clear
Temperature:27° F
Wind Chill:27° F
Humidity:81%
Dew Point:22° F
Wind:North at 0 MPH
Pressure:30.22 Inches
Visibility:10.0 Miles
Sun Rise:07:12 AM
Sun Set:04:41 PM
Moon Rise:10:59 AM
Moon Set:09:02 PM


U.S. Department of Agriculture

Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin



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