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From: Angelo Zago (ernad)
Date: 12/20/05


----------------------------------------------------------------------------
NEP: New Economics Papers
Agricultural Economics
----------------------------------------------------------------------------

Edited by: Angelo Zago
           http://ideas.repec.org/e/pza49.html
           Universita degli Studi di Verona
Date:      2005-12-09
Papers:	   26

This document is in the public domain, feel free to circulate it.

   +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
   + Note: Access to full contents may be restricted +
   +         NEP is sponsored by SUNY Oswego         +
   +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

 
In this issue we have:
----------------------------------------------------------------------------

1. Do Global Trade Distortions Still Harm Developing Country 
   Farmers?
     Anderson, Kym; Valenzuela, Ernesto
 
2. Poverty Alleviation Through Agriculture and Rural Development 
   in Bangladesh
     Mahabub Hossain
 
3. Resurrection of Rural Credit Delivery System in Maharashtra, 
   India
     Deepak Shah
 
4. Business Organization and Coordination in Marketing Specialty 
   Hogs: A Comparative Analysis of Two Firms from Iowa
     Hueth, Brent; Ibarburu, Maro; Kliebenstein, James
 
5. Agriculture in WTO July Package: Issues and Concerns for 
   Bangladesh
     Uttam Kumar Deb
 
6. Multi-Product Crops for Agricultural and Energy Production 
   ? an AGE Analysis for Poland
     Adriana Ignaciuk; Rob B. Dellink
 
7. Liberalization and Horticultural Exports of Developing 
   Countries: Issues for Future Growth and Realities
     Deepak Shah
 
8. Bargaining Coalitions in the Agricultural Negotiations of the 
   Doha Round: Similarity of Interests or Strategic Choices? An 
   Empirical Assessment
     Fabrizio De Filippis; Valeria Costantini; Riccardo 
     Crescenzi; Luca Salvatici
 
9. Water resources assessment, irrigation and agricultural 
   developments in Tajikistan
     Kristina Toderich; Munimjon Abbdusamatov; Tsuneo Tsukatani
 
10. Rural Non-Farm Economy in Bangladesh: A View from Household 
    Surveys
     Mahabub Hossain
 
11. Rural Windfall or a New Resource Curse? Coca, Income and 
    Civil Conflict in Colombia
     Angrist, Joshua; Kugler, Adriana D.
 
12. Mapping Strategies for Efficient Rural Credit Delivery 
    System through Cooperatives in Maharashtra
     Deepak Shah
 
13. RURAL CREDIT DELIVERY IN MAHARASHTRA: EXPERIENCES WITH 
    FORMAL AND INFORMAL LENDING INSTITUTIONS
     Deepak Shah
 
14. Assessing Climate Change Impacts: Agriculture
     Francesco Bosello; Jian Zhang
 
15. A survey of land, vegetation and irrigation systems in North 
    Afghanistan and neighboring Tajikistan
     Kristina Toderich; Tsuneo Tsukatani
 
16. Rice Biotechnology: Opportunity, Perceived Risks and 
    Potential Benefits to Bangladesh
     Mahabub Hossain; Muazzam Husain; S.K Datta
 
17. Dams
     Duflo, Esther; Pande, Rohini
 
18. Estimating the Pass-Through of Agricultural Policy Reforms: 
    An Application to Brazilian Commodity Markets
     Jonathan Brooks; Olga Melyukhina
 
19. Geographical Concentration of Rural Poverty in Bangladesh
     Suan Pheng Kam; Manik Lal Bose; Tahmina Latif; M A H 
     Chowdhury; S Ghulam Hussain; Mahbub Ahmed; Anwar Iqbal; L 
     Villano; Mahabub Hossain
 
20. The Value of Cultural Heritage Sites in Armenia: Evidence 
    from a Travel Cost Method Study
     Anna Alberini; Alberto Longo
 
21. The Price and Quantity of Residential Land in the United 
    States
     Davis, Morris; Heathcote, Jonathan
 
22. Trade and Development in a Labor Surplus Economy
     Edward B. Barbier; Michael Rauscher
 
23. Dependence on Primary Commodities and Poverty Traps in Sub-
    Saharan Africa: Devising strategies and building capabilities 
    for diversification
     Habiyaremye, Alexis
 
24. Sustainability of Urban Sprawl: Environmental-Economic 
    Indicators for the Analysis of Mobility Impact in Italy
     Chiara M. Travisi; Roberto Camagni
 
25. Economie de l'adaptation au changement climatique et<br 
    />agriculture dans le Bassin M?diterran?en
     Nathalie Rousset; Ren? Arrus
 
26. Negotiation processes for the protection of biodiversity
     St?phanie Aulong; Charles Figui?res; Robert Lifran
 
----------------------------------------------------------------------------

1. Do Global Trade Distortions Still Harm Developing Country 
   Farmers?
  
    Anderson, Kym
    Valenzuela, Ernesto

We estimate the impact of global merchandise trade distortions 
and services regulations on agricultural value added in various 
countries. Using the latest versions of the GTAP database and the 
GTAP-AGR model of the global economy, our results suggest real 
net farm incomes would rise in developing countries with a move 
to free trade, thereby alleviating rural poverty - despite a 
terms of trade deterioration for developing countries that are 
net food importers or are enjoying preferential access to 
agricultural markets of high-income countries. We also show, for 
several large developing countries, the contribution of their own 
versus other countries' trade policies
 
Keywords: agricultural value added; CGE modeling; economic 
          welfare; trade policy reform
JEL:      C68 D58 F17 Q17
Date:     2005-11
URL:      http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:5337&r=agr



2. Poverty Alleviation Through Agriculture and Rural Development 
   in Bangladesh
  
    Mahabub Hossain

This paper was prepared as part of CPD's ongoing agricultural 
policy research and advocacy activities with IRRI under the 
PETRRA project. It provides an overview of the progress made so 
far in agricultural, rural development and poverty reduction. It 
discusses the role of agriculture in poverty reduction in 
Bangladesh. It documents major challenges in further reduction of 
poverty in Bangladesh and opportunities for addressing the 
challenges.
 
Keywords: Poverty, Poverty alleviation, Agriculture, Rural 
          Development, Bangladesh
JEL:      I3 Q25
Date:     2004-07
URL:      http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:pdb:opaper:39&r=agr



3. Resurrection of Rural Credit Delivery System in Maharashtra, 
   India
  
    Deepak Shah (Gokhale Institute of Politics & Economics, B.M.
      C.C. Road, Deccan Gymkhana, Pune 411004, Maharashtra, India)

The RFIs operating in Maharashtra have not only shown slower 
growth in their loan advances and other operational indicators 
during the period between 1991 and 2000 but also poor performance 
thereafter. The credit cooperatives in particular have shown 
significantly high NPAs in Maharashtra. In Maharashtra, Vidarbha 
region not only shows very low magnitudes of credit flow through 
cooperatives but also decline in share of loan for cotton crop 
vis-?-vis other field crops. One of the adverse effects of 
slowing down in loan advances for cotton crop is seen on the 
farming community of this region where a significant number of 
cotton growers have committed suicide either due to lack of loan 
advances to them or because of pressure created by various 
financial institutions in terms of recovery of loan despite crop 
failure. With a view to revive the agricultural credit delivery 
system, there is need to tackle twin problems facing the system, 
viz., growing NPAs with falling CD ratios and poor recovery 
performance of RFIs, aside from adopting innovative approaches 
like linking of SHGs and NGOs with mainstream financial 
institutions. In brief, the focus of rural credit delivery system 
should be on strategies that are required for tackling issues 
such as sustainability and viability, operational efficiency, 
recovery performance, small farmer coverage and balanced sectoral 
development.
 
Keywords: Resurrection of Credit Delivery in India
JEL:      G
Date:     2005-12-02
URL:      http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:wpa:wuwpfi:0512003&r=agr



4. Business Organization and Coordination in Marketing Specialty 
   Hogs: A Comparative Analysis of Two Firms from Iowa
  
    Hueth, Brent
    Ibarburu, Maro
    Kliebenstein, James

We study business organization and coordination of specialty-
market hog production using a comparative analysis of two Iowa 
pork niche-marketing firms. We describe and analyze each firm's 
management of five key organizational challenges: planning and 
logistics, quality assurance, process verification and management 
of ?credence attributes,? business structure, and profit 
sharing. Although each firm is engaged in essentially the same 
activity, there are substantial differences across the two firms 
in the way production and marketing are coordinated. These 
differences are partly explained by the relative size and age of 
each firm, thus highlighting the importance of organizational 
evolution in agricultural markets, but are also partly the result 
of a formal organizational separation between marketing and 
production activities in one of the firms.
 
Keywords: Specialty hogs; coordination; contracting; 
          organizational design; niche markets
Date:     2005-11-28
URL:      http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:isu:genres:12479&r=agr



5. Agriculture in WTO July Package: Issues and Concerns for 
   Bangladesh
  
    Uttam Kumar Deb

This paper reviews the state of negotiations as regards 
agriculture and the developments in the context of the July 
Package. The paper also brings out the major points of 
contentions and analyses possible impacts of various negotiating 
proposals for Bangladesh?s agricultural sector and its economy. 
Moreover, the paper comes up with possible strategies for 
Bangladesh in view of the ongoing negotiations on agriculture in 
the WTO.
 
Keywords: WTO-General Council, Agriculture, July Package, 
          Bangladesh
JEL:      F10 Q17
Date:     2005-09
URL:      http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:pdb:opaper:53&r=agr



6. Multi-Product Crops for Agricultural and Energy Production 
   ? an AGE Analysis for Poland
  
    Adriana Ignaciuk (Wageningen University)
    Rob B. Dellink (Wageningen University)

By-products from agriculture and forestry can contribute to 
production of clean and cheap (bio)electricity. To assess the 
role of such multi-product crops in the response to climate 
policies, we present an applied general equilibrium model with 
special attention to biomass and multi-product crops for Poland. 
The potential to boost production of bioelectricity through the 
use of multi-product crops turns out to be limited to only 2-3% 
of total electricity production. Further expansion of the 
bioelectricity sector will have to be based on biomass crops 
explicitly grown for energy purposes. The competition between 
agriculture and biomass for scarce land remains limited, given 
the availability of relatively poor land types and substitution 
possibilities. The importance of indirect effects illustrates 
that the AGE framework is appropriate.
 
Keywords: Applied general equilibrium (AGE), Biomass, Energy 
          policy, Renewable energy
JEL:      D58 H23 Q28 Q42
Date:     2005-10
URL:      http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:fem:femwpa:2005.133&r=agr



7. Liberalization and Horticultural Exports of Developing 
   Countries: Issues for Future Growth and Realities
  
    Deepak Shah (Gokhale Institute of Politics & Economics 
      Deemed to be a University , Deccan Gymkhana, Pune ? 411 
      004 Maharashtra , India)

This paper seeks to evaluate the present and future prospects of 
developing and developed countries in agricultural exports in 
general and in horticultural exports in particular. The study 
also evaluates the behaviour of international export prices for 
agricultural commodities, both for developing and developed 
nations. In general, this study provides an insight into the 
direction in which various developed and developing countries are 
heading for insofar as their agricultural and horticultural 
exports are concerned in the changed market conditions. The study 
has made a few major observations. First, the study shows decline 
in market share of developing countries? in world agricultural 
exports in the face of marginal increase in their market share in 
world fruits and vegetable (F&V) exports during the period 
between 1981 and 1997. Second, although the study shows lower 
market share of developing countries? in world F&V exports 
during the period between 1981 and 1997, the growth in F&V 
exports as proportion of total agricultural exports is noticed to 
be much faster for developing countries? as against the 
developed countries? during the same period. Third, though 
agricultural exports of Least Developed Countries (LDC) have 
grown only marginally between 1981 and 1997, the growth in their 
F&V exports is seen to have been tremendous, especially after the 
late eighties period. Similarly, Socialist Countries of Asia (SCA)
and developing countries of Oceania have also shown sharp 
increases in their F&V exports after the late eighties period. 
Fourth, while except America, other Africa and Oceania, all the 
developing countries have shown decline in their market share in 
total F&V exports of Developing Market Economies (DME), Asia 
shows rise in its market share not only in agriculture but also 
in F&V exports of DME. Another major observation of this study is 
in terms of instabilities in export prices. The instabilities in 
export prices of agricultural commodities, including 
horticultural ones, are noticed to be more sharp for developing 
world as compared to developed world. The study, therefore, has 
categorically emphasized upon the fact that the future growth in 
horticulture production and trade, especially of developing world,
will mainly depend on future price mechanism and also on the 
import demand of these high value crops in various regions of the 
world.
 
Keywords: Liberalization and Horticultural Exports of Developing 
          Countries
JEL:      F1 F2
Date:     2005-12-02
URL:      http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:wpa:wuwpit:0512001&r=agr



8. Bargaining Coalitions in the Agricultural Negotiations of the 
   Doha Round: Similarity of Interests or Strategic Choices? An 
   Empirical Assessment
  
    Fabrizio De Filippis (University ?Roma Tre?)
    Valeria Costantini (University ?Roma Tre?)
    Riccardo Crescenzi (University ?Roma Tre?)
    Luca Salvatici (University of Molise)

The paper aims at understanding the structural features of the 
bargaining coalitions in the Doha Round of the WTO. We provide an 
empirical assessment of the preferences of each negotiating actor 
looking at general economics indicators, development levels, 
structure of the agricultural sectors, and trade policies for 
agricultural products. Bargaining coalitions are analyzed by 
grouping countries through a cluster analysis procedure. The 
clusters are compared with existing coalitions, in order to 
assess their degree of internal homogeneity as well as their 
common interests. Such a comparison allows the detection of 
possible ?defectors?, i.e. countries that according to their 
economic conditions and policies seem to be relatively less 
committed to the positions of the coalition they join.
 
Keywords: Agricultural trade negotiations, Bargaining coalitions,
          WTO, Cluster analysis
JEL:      F13 Q17
Date:     2005-07
URL:      http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:fem:femwpa:2005.99&r=agr



9. Water resources assessment, irrigation and agricultural 
   developments in Tajikistan
  
    Kristina Toderich (Samarkand Academy of Sciences, Uzbekistan)
    Munimjon Abbdusamatov (State Control on Water Use and 
      Preservation of Water Resources, Ministry of Nature 
      Protection of the Republic of Tajikistan)
    Tsuneo Tsukatani (Institute of Economic Research, Kyoto 
      University)

This paper provides a description of current state of water 
resources assessment in Tajikistan, their use for the agriculture 
development and maintenance of irrigation infrastructures. The 
Vakhsh and Pyandzh River Basins and its tributaries in Tajikistan 
were directly surveyed during an expedition within the framework 
of a Joint Research Project: Investigation of natural resources 
of Central Asia and reconstruction of agriculture in Afghanistan, 
that is supported by the Ministry of Education and Culture of 
Japan Grant in Aid for Scientific Joint Research, 2003, No. 
15252002), that is represented by professor Dr. Tsuneo Tsukatani, 
Department of Natural Resources and the Environment, Kyoto 
Institute of Economics, Kyoto University, Japan. The field 
expedition was carried out in September 2003 according to the 
Joint Project Research Program to study the natural resources and 
contemporary state of irrigation in Pyandzh River basin.
 
Keywords: water resources, cropping system, irrigation 
          infrastructure, Tajikistan, Subsurface drip irrigation, 
          SDI, Pyandzh, AmuDarya, Kumsangir, Vakhsh
Date:     2004-03
URL:      http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:kyo:wpaper:585&r=agr



10. Rural Non-Farm Economy in Bangladesh: A View from Household 
    Surveys
  
    Mahabub Hossain

This paper was presented at the dialogue on Promoting Rural Non-
farm Economy: Is Bangladesh Doing Enough? The paper presents the 
findings of the surveys, conducted in 1987 and 2000, on the 
importance of the rural non-farm activities as a source of rural 
development and factors affecting participation in it. It 
estimates the duration of employment and the level of 
productivity, to examine whether the expansion of the rural non-
farm economy (RFNE) is caused by "push" or "pull" factors. It 
also assesses whether access to capital is a constraint to 
expansion of RFNE. It analyzes the expenditure pattern of rural 
and urban households to assess the demand for nonfarm goods and 
services. It provides an overview of strategies and policies for 
the development of the rural non-farm sector. Finally, the study 
highlights the actions required for promotion of the rural non-
farm economy of Bangladesh. Nature and Impact of Women's 
Participation in Economic Activities in Rural Bangladesh: 
Insights from Household Surveys.
 
Keywords: Economy Bangladesh
JEL:      A14
Date:     2004-07
URL:      http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:pdb:opaper:40&r=agr



11. Rural Windfall or a New Resource Curse? Coca, Income and 
    Civil Conflict in Colombia
  
    Angrist, Joshua
    Kugler, Adriana D.

Natural and agricultural resources for which there is a 
substantial black market, such as coca, opium, and diamonds, 
appear especially likely to be exploited by the parties to a 
civil conflict. On the other hand, these resources may also 
provide one of the few reliable sources of income in the 
countryside. In this paper, we study the economic and social 
consequences of a major shift in the production of coca paste 
from Peru and Bolivia to Colombia, where most coca leaf is now 
harvested. This shift, which arose in response to the disruption 
of the 'air bridge' that previously ferried coca paste into 
Colombia, provided an exogenous boost in the demand for Colombian 
coca leaf. Our analysis shows this shift generated economic gains 
in rural areas, primarily in the form of increased self-
employment earnings and increased labour supply by teenage boys. 
There is little evidence of widespread economic spillovers, 
however. The results also suggest that the rural areas which saw 
accelerated coca production subsequently became much more violent.
Taken together, these findings support the view that the 
Colombian civil conflict is fuelled by the financial 
opportunities that coca provides. This is in line with a recent 
literature that attributes the extension of civil conflicts to 
economic rewards and an environment that favours insurgency more 
than to the persistence of economic or political grievances.
 
Keywords: civil war; resource curse; rural development
JEL:      J20 J43 O13 O18 O54
Date:     2005-10
URL:      http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:5324&r=agr



12. Mapping Strategies for Efficient Rural Credit Delivery 
    System through Cooperatives in Maharashtra
  
    Deepak Shah (Gokhale Institute of Politics & Economics, B.M.
      C.C. Road, Deccan Gymkhana, Pune 411004, Maharashtra, India)

This paper attempts to assess the performance of various credit 
cooperatives operating in different districts and regions of 
Maharashtra with the extension to evaluating the viability of 
these institutions in forward and backward regions of the state. 
In this study, the credit cooperatives operating in Maharashtra 
have not only shown slower growth in their institutional finance 
coupled with much slower growth in their membership but also 
faster growth in outstanding loans as against their loan advances 
during the reform period. The reason for this dismal scenario is 
traced in adverse environment created by the financial sector 
reforms, which have reduced the entire rural credit delivery 
through cooperatives to a moribund state. Since the financial 
sector reforms accorded greater flexibility to cooperatives to 
invest in non- target avenues like shares and debentures of 
corporates, units of mutual funds, bonds of public sector 
undertakings, etc., this has adversely affected credit flow from 
these major institutions operating in rural Maharashtra as most 
of their loans meant for farm finance are diverted to investments.
The credit cooperatives in Maharashtra are also noticed to be 
beset with several other deficiencies, which mainly relate to 
their low operational efficiency, high incidence of overdue, low 
level of recovery, distributional aspects of their loan advances, 
coverage of SC/ST members, etc. The findings of this 
investigation clearly show lackadaisical approach of PACS towards 
SC/ST members, particularly in terms of their coverage, pattern 
of loan advances to them and recovery pattern. The deficiencies 
do not confine to this but extend to other concurrent issues. 
Wide variation in total and crop loan advances across various 
districts and regions is other important issue that need to be 
taken cognizance of in ensuring effective rural credit delivery 
through PACS operating in Maharashtra. Although decline in their 
loan advances with rise in GCA is another issue, the most 
important one among all is the mounting overdue and NPAs of 
cooperatives operating in both forward and backward regions of 
Maharashtra. Due to substantially high NPAs, while BDCCB 
operating in backward region has shown gross inefficiency in its 
functioning during the reform period, the SDCCB operating in 
forward region is marked with deterioration in its financial 
health during this period. In order to rejuvenate rural credit 
delivery system through cooperatives, the major problems facing 
the system, viz., high transaction cost, poor repayment 
performance, mounting NPAs, distributional aspect of credit, 
coverage of SC/ST members, etc., need to be tackled with more 
fiscal jurisprudence reserving exemplary punishment for willful 
defaults, particularly large farmers.
 
Keywords: Strategies For Efficient Rural Credit Delivery
JEL:      G
Date:     2005-12-02
URL:      http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:wpa:wuwpfi:0512002&r=agr



13. RURAL CREDIT DELIVERY IN MAHARASHTRA: EXPERIENCES WITH 
    FORMAL AND INFORMAL LENDING INSTITUTIONS
  
    Deepak Shah (Gokhale Institute of Politics & Economics, B.M.
      C.C. Road, Deccan Gymkhana, Pune 411004, Maharashtra, India)

The rural lending institutions in Maharashtra not only encompass 
traditional formal sector credit but also new generation credit 
organizations. The present study specifically focuses on credit 
experiences of various categories of farmers, including landless 
households, with these lending institutions with the overall 
objective of suggesting policy measures relating to ensuring 
smooth flow of credit to them. The study provides two differing 
views insofar as the functioning of various lending institutions 
in Maharashtra is concerned. While new generation lending 
institutions such as SHGs have shown high rate of interest on 
loan advances, the traditional lending institutions such as 
cooperatives and commercial banks are seen to beset with other 
deficiencies, viz., absence of human capital investment and 
consumption loans, especially for illness, marriage, and other 
contingencies. These credit institutions have also shown high 
transaction cost and delay in delivery of credit, besides showing 
other deficiencies. The study has emphasized upon the need for 
both formal and informal credit agencies to have simplified 
loaning procedures with major focus on extension of credit 
facilities to poorer sections of the rural community, balanced 
sectoral development, sustainability and viability, operational 
efficiency and small farmer coverage. Other suggestions of this 
study encompass efficient use of ?Kisan Credit Cards?, group 
lending through SHGs, etc. Further, as the credit delivery 
through commercial and cooperative banks invariably depended on 
ownership of land, the landless households are adversely affected 
in terms of access to credit and are noticed to be neglected 
section of rural community. It is, therefore, felt in this study 
that ownership of land as the criterion for the distribution of 
credit should be relaxed and group responsibility be introduced 
by formal credit institutions to safeguard the interest of 
overall rural community. Identification of poorer groups within 
the landholding categories is another suggestion of this study 
with a view to help them to rise above the poverty line by 
providing them access to credit.
 
Keywords: Credit Delivery in India: Experiences with Formal and 
          Informal Lenders
JEL:      G
Date:     2005-12-02
URL:      http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:wpa:wuwpfi:0512004&r=agr



14. Assessing Climate Change Impacts: Agriculture
  
    Francesco Bosello (Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei)
    Jian Zhang (EEE Program, Abdus Salam International Center of 
      Theoretical Physics)

The economy-wide implications of climate change on agricultural 
sectors in 2050 are estimated using a static computable general 
equilibrium model. Peculiar to this exercise is the coupling of 
the economic model with a climatic model forecasting temperature 
increase in the relevant year and with a crop-growth model 
estimating climate change impact on cereal productivity. The main 
results of the study point out on the one hand the limited 
influence of climate change on world food supply and welfare; on 
the other hand its important distributional consequences as the 
stronger negative effects are concentrated on developing 
countries. The simulation exercise is introduced by a survey of 
the relevant literature.
 
Keywords: Climate change, Computable general equilibrium models, 
          Agriculture
JEL:      D58 C68 N50 Q54
Date:     2005-07
URL:      http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:fem:femwpa:2005.94&r=agr



15. A survey of land, vegetation and irrigation systems in North 
    Afghanistan and neighboring Tajikistan
  
    Kristina Toderich (Department of Desert Ecology and Water 
      Resources ResearchCSamarkand Division of the Academy of 
      Sciences)
    Tsuneo Tsukatani (Institute of Economic Research, Kyoto 
      University)

This paper describes the results of a field expedition work 
along the rivers Vakhsh and Pyandzh in Tajikistan and Afghanistan 
within the framework of a Joint Research Project: Investigation 
of natural resources of Central Asia and reconstruction of 
agriculture in Afghanistan, supported by the Ministry of 
Education and Culture in Japan and represented by professor 
Tsuneo Tsukatani, Department of Natural Resources and the 
Environment, Kyoto Institute of Economics, Kyoto University, 
Japan; also supported by a Grant in Aid for Scientific Research, 
The Ministry of Education and Culture of Japan, 2003 (Monbusho 
International Scientific Joint Research Program, No. 15252002), 
represented again by professor Tsuneo Tsukatani. The field 
expedition was carried out in September 2003 according to the 
Joint Project Research Program to study the natural resources and 
the contemporary state of irrigation systems in the Pyandzh River 
basin.
 
Keywords: Agriculture, Desertification, Environmental policy, 
          Farming system, Irrigation system, North Afghanistan, 
          Pyandzh River, Rangelands improvement, Subsurface Drip 
          Irrigation (SDI), Water quality
Date:     2004-02
URL:      http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:kyo:wpaper:584&r=agr



16. Rice Biotechnology: Opportunity, Perceived Risks and 
    Potential Benefits to Bangladesh
  
    Mahabub Hossain
    Muazzam Husain
    S.K Datta

This paper has been prepared as part of CPD's ongoing 
agricultural policy research and advocacy activities with IRRI 
under the PETRRA project. It discusses the benefits and risks of 
rice biotechnology research and genetically engineered varieties 
developed from such research. It assesses the potential benefits 
of biotechnology for rice improvement in the context of 
Bangladesh. The paper collated perceived risk of biotechnology. 
It reports the findings of a survey on knowledge, perceptions and 
attitude of civil society to identify the constraints to adoption 
of rice biotechnology in Bangladesh. It also raises some issues 
for debate that may assist the government to take up positions on 
this issue vital to achieving and sustaining food and nutrition 
security in Bangladesh.
 
Keywords: Rice, Biotechnology, Bangladesh
JEL:      Q25
Date:     2004-07
URL:      http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:pdb:opaper:37&r=agr



17. Dams
  
    Duflo, Esther
    Pande, Rohini

The construction of large dams is one of the most costly and 
controversial forms of public infrastructure investment in 
developing countries, but little is known about their impact. 
This paper studies the productivity and distributional effects of 
large dams in India. To account for endogenous placement of dams 
we use GIS data and the fact that river gradient affects a 
district's suitability for dams to provide instrumental variable 
estimates of their impact. We find that, in a district where a 
dam is built, agricultural production does not increase but 
poverty does. In contrast, districts located downstream from the 
dam benefit from increased irrigation and see agricultural 
production increase and poverty fall. Overall, our estimates 
suggest that large dam construction in India is a marginally cost-
effective investment with significant distributional implications,
and has, in aggregate, increased poverty.
 
Keywords: dams; development planning; program evaluation
JEL:      H23 H43 O12 O21
Date:     2005-10
URL:      http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:5325&r=agr



18. Estimating the Pass-Through of Agricultural Policy Reforms: 
    An Application to Brazilian Commodity Markets
  
    Jonathan Brooks
    Olga Melyukhina

The ultimate impact of multilateral and own-country agricultural 
policy reforms will depend on the extent to which those reforms 
?pass-through? across national borders, within countries, and 
from local markets down to the household level. At the heart of 
policy pass-through is the question of ?price transmission?, 
i.e. the extent to which price changes in one market lead to 
price changes in another market...
 
Date:     2005-11
URL:      http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:oec:agraaa:2-en&r=agr



19. Geographical Concentration of Rural Poverty in Bangladesh
  
    Suan Pheng Kam
    Manik Lal Bose
    Tahmina Latif
    M A H Chowdhury
    S Ghulam Hussain
    Mahbub Ahmed
    Anwar Iqbal
    L Villano
    Mahabub Hossain

This paper was presented at the dialogue on Mapping Poverty for 
Rural Bangladesh: Implications for Pro-poor Development. The 
dialogue was organised as part of CPD's ongoing agricultural 
policy research and advocacy activities with IRRI under the 
PETRRA project. The study reported geographical concentration of 
rural poverty in Bangladesh for 425 upazilas in 2000-01. The 
study measured and mapped incidence of poverty (using Headcount 
Index), intensity of poverty (using Poverty Gap Index) and 
severity of poverty (using Squared Poverty Gap Index). It has 
analyzed factors contributing to the spatial concentration of 
poverty. It is hoped that the findings of the study would be 
helpful in identifying target areas and priorities for 
agricultural R&D interventions and poverty reduction programmes.
 
Keywords: Poverty, Rural Poverty, Bangladesh
JEL:      I3
Date:     2004-07
URL:      http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:pdb:opaper:38&r=agr



20. The Value of Cultural Heritage Sites in Armenia: Evidence 
    from a Travel Cost Method Study
  
    Anna Alberini (University of Maryland)
    Alberto Longo (University of Bath)

This paper applies the travel cost method to visits to cultural 
sites in Armenia by domestic visitors. Respondents intercepted at 
four cultural monuments provided information on their visitation 
patterns, experience at the site, perception of the state of 
conservation of the monuments, and rating of the quality of the 
services and infrastructures. We combine actual trips with stated 
trips under hypothetical programs that would enhance the 
conservation of the monuments and improve one of (i) the cultural 
experience at the site, (ii) the quality of the infrastructure, 
or (iii) the quality of the services, and use the combined actual 
and stated trips to fit a panel data model. Our investigation 
shows that that there are significant use values associated with 
the four study monuments, and that conservation programs and 
initiatives that improve the cultural experience, or simply make 
it easier for the respondent to reach and spend time at the 
monument, are valued by domestic visitors and would encourage 
higher visitation rates.
 
Keywords: Valuation of cultural heritage sites, Non-market 
          valuation, Travel cost, Consumer surplus, Contingent 
          behavior
JEL:      Z10
Date:     2005-09
URL:      http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:fem:femwpa:2005.112&r=agr



21. The Price and Quantity of Residential Land in the United 
    States
  
    Davis, Morris
    Heathcote, Jonathan

A house is a bundle comprising a physical structure and the plot 
of land upon which the house is built. Thus changes in house 
prices reflect changes in the cost of structures and value of 
land. In this paper we apply this insight to construct the first 
constant-quality price and quantity indexes for the aggregate 
stock of residential land in the United States. We document that 
the value of residential land exceeds annual GDP, and that the 
dynamics for the prices of residential land and residential 
structures are quite different. For example, the real price index 
for residential land almost tripled between 1975 and 2005, while 
the real price of structures increased by only 24 percent. 
Fluctuations in house prices at business cycle frequencies, 
including the recent boom, are primarily driven by changes in the 
price of land.
 
Keywords: housing; land prices
JEL:      R14 R21 R31
Date:     2005-11
URL:      http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:5333&r=agr



22. Trade and Development in a Labor Surplus Economy
  
    Edward B. Barbier
    Michael Rauscher (University of Rostock)

This paper looks at a model in which two countries trade 
agricultural and manufactured commodities. The manufactured-goods 
sector produces with increasing returns to scale under conditions 
of monopolistic competition. It is shown that an increase in land 
endowment (or an increase in agricultural productivity) can have 
negative welfare implications for both countries. This outcome 
can result under three different scenarios: asymmetries across 
countries, i.e. a North-South model, a neoclassical labor market 
in the home country's instead of a Lewisian market, and 
alternative utility functions.
 
Keywords: international trade, labor surplus economy, land 
          expansion, monopolistic competition, North-South model.
JEL:      F12 J61 O15 O18
Date:     2005
URL:      http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ros:wpaper:53&r=agr



23. Dependence on Primary Commodities and Poverty Traps in Sub-
    Saharan Africa: Devising strategies and building capabilities 
    for diversification
  
    Habiyaremye, Alexis (United Nations University, Institute 
      for New Technologies)

This paper analyses the poverty traps problem of Sub-Saharan 
African (SSA) countries and their dependence on a few primary 
export commodities in their trade relationships with the rest of 
the world. We argue that traditional approaches to development 
and industrialization have failed to take account of the 
necessity of building appropriate technological capability for 
SSA countries to acquire, master and effectively apply modern 
technologies. Taking lessons from the failure of these 
traditional approaches, w e place the national systems of 
innovation (NSI) approach and the adequate technological 
capability building (TCB) at the source of economic 
diversification needed to reduce dependence on primary 
commodities and disentangle poverty traps in SSA countries.
 
Keywords: systems of innovation, technology policy, economic 
          development, industrialization, poverty, capability 
          building, primary commodities, natural resources, sub-
          saharan africa
Date:     2005
URL:      http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:dgr:unuint:200509&r=agr



24. Sustainability of Urban Sprawl: Environmental-Economic 
    Indicators for the Analysis of Mobility Impact in Italy
  
    Chiara M. Travisi (DIG, Politecnico di Milano)
    Roberto Camagni (DIG, Politecnico di Milano)

Sound empirical and quantitative analysis on the relationship 
between different patterns of urban expansion and environmental 
or social costs of mobility are still very rare in Europe and the 
few studies available provide only a qualitative discussion on 
this. Recently, Camagni et al. (2002) have performed an empirical 
analysis on the metropolitan area of Milan, aimed at establishing 
whether different patterns of urban expansion generate different 
levels of land consumption and heterogeneous impacts of urban 
mobility. Results confirm the expectation that higher 
environmental impact of mobility is associated with more 
extensive and sprawling urban development, more recent 
urbanisation processes and residential specialisation. The 
present paper enlarges further the empirical analysis to seven 
Italian metropolitan areas (namely, Bari, Florence, Naples, Padua,
Perugia, Potenza and Turin) to corroborate previous results for 
the Italian context. The novelty of the present paper is 
threefold. Firstly, we are interested in exploring the changes 
occurred to the intensity of the mobility impact across a ten-
year period, from 1981 to 1991, corresponding to the Italian 
economic boom years. Secondly, using an econometric analysis in 
cross-section, we consider several metropolitan areas at once, 
being therefore able to explore whether there are significant 
differences in the way the model explains variations in the 
mobility impact across various Italian urban areas. Finally, we 
propose a conceptual interpretation of the causal chain in the 
explanation of the mobility impact intensity and we test it using 
Causal Path Analysis.
 
Keywords: Urban mobility, Sprawl, Environmental sustainability, 
          Collective costs
JEL:      Q56 R14 R41
Date:     2005-09
URL:      http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:fem:femwpa:2005.102&r=agr



25. Economie de l'adaptation au changement climatique et<br 
    />agriculture dans le Bassin M?diterran?en
  
    Nathalie Rousset (LEPII - Laboratoire d'?conomie de la 
      production et de l'int?gration internationale - http://www.
      upmf-grenoble.fr/lepii/ - CNRS : FRE2664 - Universit? 
      Pierre Mend?s-France - Grenoble II)
    Ren? Arrus (LEPII - Laboratoire d'?conomie de la 
      production et de l'int?gration internationale - http://www.
      upmf-grenoble.fr/lepii/ - CNRS : FRE2664 - Universit? 
      Pierre Mend?s-France - Grenoble II)

Le changement climatique fait peser des risques ?lev?s pour 
l'agriculture m?diterran?enne, qui pourrait voir ses rendements 
diminuer fortement, en liaison avec la<br />rar?faction des 
ressources hydriques. L'adaptation anticipative des syst?mes 
agricoles ? ces changements appara?t ainsi comme un enjeu 
majeur pour cette r?gion pour le 21e si?cle.
 
Keywords: eau ; changement climatique ; agriculture ; adaptation
Date:     2005-11-25
URL:      http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:hal:papers:halshs-00006
235_v1&r=agr



26. Negotiation processes for the protection of biodiversity
  
    St?phanie Aulong (Station biologique de la Tour du Valat 
      and UMR LAMETA)
    Charles Figui?res (INRA, UMR LAMETA)
    Robert Lifran (INRA, UMR LAMETA)

Consider a developing country that has the potential for 
biodiversity conservation, and developed countries that benefit 
from biodiversity but are not in position to produce it. From the 
statu quo, some incremental protections of biodiversity would be 
harmful for the developing country but would benefit the 
developed contries and the world as a whole; in other words, 
biodiversity protection is a global public good. The negotiation 
problem is then: how to organize compensation transfers from the 
developed countries to the developing country to sustain a higher 
Pareto optimal) level of biodiversity, given that: i) each 
developed country has an incentive to free-ride on transfers 
conceded by others, ii) no supranational authority exists that 
has both the necessary relevant information on countries's 
willingness to pay for biodiversity, and the power to impose a 
socially beneficial profile of transfers? This paper investigates 
how, and to what extent, the theory of resource allocation 
processes can shed light into this issue, and how it can be best 
tailored and qualified to cope with the problem at hand. The 
focus is put on the incentive properties of the suggested 
negotiation processes, and their ability to respect countries' 
sovereignty.
 
Keywords: biodiversity, negotiation processes, voting scheme, 
          preferences revelation.
Date:     2005-04
URL:      http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:iep:wpidep:0505&r=agr


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Wednesday, December 3, 2008

Pennsylvania


Dauphin County Edition

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Last Updated:10:56 PM EST December 2, 2008
Conditions:Clear
Temperature:27° F
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Humidity:81%
Dew Point:22° F
Wind:North at 0 MPH
Pressure:30.22 Inches
Visibility:10.0 Miles
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Moon Rise:10:59 AM
Moon Set:09:02 PM


U.S. Department of Agriculture

Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin



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 Deloach Predicts 10-15 Percent Voter Turnout Today, depends On Weather

 Once Greyhound Racing Is Banned !


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