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From: Angelo Zago (ernad)
Date: 02/24/05


----------------------------------------------------------------------------
NEP: New Economics Papers
Caribbean Economics
----------------------------------------------------------------------------

Edited by: Angelo Zago
           
           Universita degli Studi di Verona
Date:      2005-01-23
Papers:	   3

This document is in the public domain, feel free to circulate it.

   ++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
   + Note: Access to full contents may be restricted+
   ++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

 
In this issue we have:
----------------------------------------------------------------------------

1. Multilateral Agricultural Trade Liberalization: The 
   Contrasting Fortunes of Developing Countries in the Doha Round
     Antoine Bouet; Jean-Christophe Bureau; Yvan Decreux; 
     Sebastien Jean
 
2. Small-Scale Irrigation Dams, Agricultural Production, and 
   Health: Theory and Evidence from Ethiopia
     Lire Ersado
 
3. THE ECONOMICS OF NATURAL RESOURCE SCARCITY AND IMPLICATIONS 
   FOR DEVELOPMENT POLICY AND INTERNATIONAL COOPERATION
     Edgar L. Feige; David M. Blau
 
----------------------------------------------------------------------------

1. Multilateral Agricultural Trade Liberalization: The 
   Contrasting Fortunes of Developing Countries in the Doha Round
  
    Antoine Bouet
    Jean-Christophe Bureau
    Yvan Decreux
    Sebastien Jean

An applied general equilibrium model is used to assess the 
impact of multilateral trade liberalization in agriculture, with 
particular emphasis on developing countries. We use original data,
and the model includes some specific features such as a dual 
labor market. Applied tariffs, including those under preferential 
regimes and regional agreements, are taken into account at the 
detailed product level, together with the corresponding bound 
tariffs on which countries negotiate. The various types of farm 
support are detailed, and several groups of developing countries 
are distinguished. Simulations give a contrasted picture of the 
benefits developing countries would draw from the Doha 
development round. The results suggest that previous studies that 
have neglected preferential agreements and the binding overhang (
in tariffs as well as domestic support), and have treated 
developed countries with a high level of aggregation have been 
excessively optimistic about the actual benefits of multilateral 
trade liberalization. Regions like sub-Saharan Africa are more 
likely to suffer from the erosion of existing preferences. The 
main gainers of the Doha round are likely to be developed 
countries and Cairns group members.
 
Keywords: CGE model; Doha Round; agriculture; tariff preferences;
          domestic support; Foreign Direct Investment
JEL:      F12 F13 D58 Q17
Date:     2004-11
URL:      http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:cii:cepidt:2004-18&r=agr



2. Small-Scale Irrigation Dams, Agricultural Production, and 
   Health: Theory and Evidence from Ethiopia
  
    Lire Ersado

Ersado looks at the feasibility and potential of instituting 
small-scale irrigation dams to reduce Ethiopia?s dependence on 
rainfed agriculture and the associated food insecurity. He 
develops a theoretical framework to assess the welfare 
implications of irrigation development programs and provides 
empirical evidence from microdam construction and reforestation 
projects in northern Ethiopia. The author pays particular 
attention to health-related costs of establishing small-scale 
irrigation dams in areas prone to waterborne diseases. While the 
theoretical analyses imply that the net welfare impacts of 
irrigation dams cannot be known a priori due to potential health 
costs, the empirical evidence shows that current agricultural 
yield and farm profit have increased in villages with closer 
proximity to the dams than in those more distant. The increased 
disease incidence due to standing pools of water has, however, 
led to significant declines in the returns from investment in 
irrigation water. Households with poor health are less likely to 
adopt productivity-enhancing as well as resource-conserving 
technologies, which are crucial for achieving the ultimate goal 
of sustainable agricultural development. The ensuing sickness has 
also led to reduction in labor allocation to off-farm activities. 
The findings underline the importance of weighing beforehand the 
magnitude of potential economic benefits against health costs of 
water development programs. The overall evidence, however, 
suggests that carefully designed irrigation dams could 
significantly improve agricultural production and food security, 
particularly in areas where waterborne diseases pose negligible 
risk to health or can be cost-effectively controlled. This 
paper?a product of the Poverty Reduction and Economic 
Management Sector Unit, Europe and Central Asia Region?is part 
of a larger effort in the Bank to achieve global food security 
and poverty alleviation.
 
Keywords: Agriculture; Environment; Health & Population; Labor & 
          Employment; Public Sector Management; Rural Development
Date:     2005-01-14
URL:      http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:wbk:wbrwps:3494&r=agr



3. THE ECONOMICS OF NATURAL RESOURCE SCARCITY AND IMPLICATIONS 
   FOR DEVELOPMENT POLICY AND INTERNATIONAL COOPERATION
  
    Edgar L. Feige (University of Wisconsin-Madison)
    David M. Blau (University of Wisconsin-Madison)

This paper analyses the problem of natural resource scarcity and 
its implications for economic development and international 
cooperation. We examine the meaning and measurement of resource 
?scarcity? and its implications for economic growth and 
development. The paper describes the conditions required for the 
efficient use of exhaustible natural resources and for optimal 
inter-temporal efficient paths and considers the consequences of 
uncertainty, risk, externalities, disequilibria and institutional 
constraints on the market?s ability to achieve efficient 
resource utilization. Particular attention is paid to the 
implications of the cartelization of natural resource industries 
and the disturbing tendency to use political rather than economic 
motivations as the basis for resource production and distribution 
decisions. Reference: Resources and Development: Natural Resource 
Polices and Economic Development in an Interdependent World. P. 
Dorner and M.A.El- Shafie (eds), University of Wisconsin Press, 
1980
 
Keywords: Natural resource scarcity, cartels, OPEC, energy 
          prices,economic development,non-renewable resources,
          efficiency
JEL:      Q3 Q4 L1 L41 D6 D8
Date:     2005-01-19
URL:      http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:wpa:wuwpot:0501004&r=agr


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Wednesday, December 3, 2008

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