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From: Angelo Zago (ernad)
Date: 12/14/06


----------------------------------------------------------------------------
NEP: New Economics Papers
Agricultural Economics
----------------------------------------------------------------------------

Edited by: Angelo Zago
           http://ideas.repec.org/e/pza49.html
           Universita degli Studi di Verona
Date:      2006-12-09
Papers:	   10

This document is in the public domain, feel free to circulate it.

   +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
   + Note: Access to full contents may be restricted +
   +         NEP is sponsored by SUNY Oswego         +
   +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

 
In this issue we have:
----------------------------------------------------------------------------

1. Effects and Value of Verifiable Information in a 
   Controversial Market: Evidence from Lab Auctions of 
   Genetically Modified Food
     Rousu, Matthew; Huffman, Wallace; Shogren, Jason F.; Tegene,
     Abebayehu
 
2. The income distributional consequences of agrarian tariffs in 
   Sweden on the eve of World War I
     Bohlin, Jan
 
3. Productivity Growth and Convergence in Crop, Ruminant and Non-
   Ruminant Production: Measurement and Forecasts
     Ludena, Carlos; Hertel, Thomas; Preckel, Paul; Foster, 
     Kenneth; Nin Pratt, Alejandro
 
4. The Role of Global Land Use in Determining Greenhouse Gases 
   Mitigation Costs
     Hertel, Thomas; Lee, Huey-Lin; Rose, Steven; Sohngen, Brent
 
5. Analysis of the socio-economic impact of the tobacco CMO 
   reform on italian tobacco sector
     F. Arfini; M. Donati; D. Menozzi
 
6. Protectionism, agricultural prices and relative factor 
   incomes: Sweden?s wage-rental ratio, 1877-1926
     Bohlin, Jan; Larsson, Svante
 
7. Checkerboards and Coase: Transactions Costs and Efficiency in 
   Land Markets
     Randall Akee
 
8. Resource Curse in Reverse: The Coffee Crisis and Armed 
   Conflict in Colombia.
     Oeindrila Dube; Juan F. Vargas
 
9. The success of ?Made in Italy?: an appraisal of quality-
   based competitiveness in food markets
     A. Ninni; M. Raimondi; M. Zuppiroli
 
10. Perspectives d'?volution des march?s c?r?aliers pour la 
    campagne de commercialisation 2005/2006.
     Salifou B. Diarra; Niama Nango Demb?l?
 
----------------------------------------------------------------------------

1. Effects and Value of Verifiable Information in a 
   Controversial Market: Evidence from Lab Auctions of 
   Genetically Modified Food
  
    Rousu, Matthew
    Huffman, Wallace
    Shogren, Jason F.
    Tegene, Abebayehu

Food products containing genetically modified (GM) ingredients 
have entered the market over the past decade. The biotech 
industry and environmental groups have disseminating conflicting 
private information about GM foods. This paper develops a unique 
methodology for valuing independent third-party information in 
such a setting and applies this method to consumers? 
willingness to pay for food products that might be GM. Data are 
collected from real consumers in an auction market setting with 
randomized information and labeling treatments. The average value 
of third-party information per lab participant is small, but the 
public good value across U.S. consumers is shown to be quite 
large.
 
JEL:      C9 D1 D8
Date:     2006-11-29
URL:      http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:isu:genres:12702&r=agr



2. The income distributional consequences of agrarian tariffs in 
   Sweden on the eve of World War I
  
    Bohlin, Jan (Department of Economic History, School of 
      Business, Economics and Law, G?teborg University)

After 1870 Swedish agriculture was transformed in the direction 
of more animal husbandry. Small farmers in particular specialized 
in animal produce. Yet, agricultural protectionism primarily 
served the interest of large landowners specializing in bread-
grain production. The paper explores the impact of agrarian 
tariffs on the factor rewards of landowners, capitalists and 
workers. Landowners predictably benefited from agrarian tariffs, 
the more so if they specialized in bread-grain, as did rural 
workers. With an integrated ruralurban labour market real incomes 
of urban workers would have come under pressure if agrarian 
tariffs had been dismantled while capitalists would have been 
little affected. <p>
 
Keywords: Economic History; Protectionism; Trade Policy; Income 
          Distribution; Computable General Equilibrium Model
JEL:      C68 D33 F13 N23 N33 N43
Date:     2006-12-01
URL:      http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:hhs:gunhis:0006&r=agr



3. Productivity Growth and Convergence in Crop, Ruminant and Non-
   Ruminant Production: Measurement and Forecasts
  
    Ludena, Carlos
    Hertel, Thomas
    Preckel, Paul
    Foster, Kenneth
    Nin Pratt, Alejandro

There is considerable interest in projections of future 
productivity growth in agriculture. Whether one is interested in 
the outlook for global commodity markets, future patterns of 
international trade, or the interactions between land use, 
deforestation and ecological diversity, the rate of productivity 
growth in agriculture is an essential input. Yet solid 
projections for this variable have proven elusive - particularly 
on a global basis. This is due, in no small part, to the 
difficulty in measuring historical productivity growth. The 
purpose of this paper is to report the latest time series 
evidence on total factor productivity growth for crops, ruminants 
and non-ruminant livestock, on a global basis. We then follow 
with tests for convergence amongst regions, providing forecasts 
for farm productivity growth to the year 2040. The results 
suggest that most regions in the sample are likely to experience 
larger productivity gains in livestock than in crops. Within 
livestock, the non-ruminant sector is expected to continue to be 
more dynamic than the ruminant sector. Given the rapid rates of 
productivity growth observed recently, non-ruminant and crop 
productivity in developing countries may be converging to the 
productivity levels of developed countries. For ruminants, the 
results show that productivity levels may be diverging between 
developed and developing countries.
 
Date:     2006
URL:      http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:gta:workpp:2220&r=agr



4. The Role of Global Land Use in Determining Greenhouse Gases 
   Mitigation Costs
  
    Hertel, Thomas
    Lee, Huey-Lin
    Rose, Steven
    Sohngen, Brent

This paper develops a CGE model with unique regional land types 
and detailed non-CO2 GHG emissions which it uses to analyze the 
potential for reductions in land-based greenhouse gas emissions 
as well as forest sequestration. In our global, general 
equilibrium analysis of carbon taxation, we find that forest 
carbon sequestration is the dominant means for global GHG 
emissions reduction in the land using sectors. However, when 
compared to the rest of the world, emissions abatement in the US 
comes disproportionately from agriculture, and, within 
agriculture, disproportionately from reductions in fertilizer-
related emissions (primarily in maize production). In the world 
as a whole, agriculture-related mitigation comes predominantly in 
reduced methane emissions from ruminant livestock, which is 
followed in relative importance by reductions in methane 
emissions from paddy rice. We also find significant linkages 
between emissions in one region and mitigation in another (i.e. 
leakage). For example, in the US agriculture, abatement potential 
is cut in half when we move from a national tax to a global 
carbon tax. This is a consequence of the strong export 
orientation of US agriculture, which responds to reduced 
production in the rest of the world by increasing its own 
production and hence emissions.
 
Date:     2006
URL:      http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:gta:workpp:2230&r=agr



5. Analysis of the socio-economic impact of the tobacco CMO 
   reform on italian tobacco sector
  
    F. Arfini
    M. Donati
    D. Menozzi

The Tobacco CMO (Common Market Organization) is involved in a 
intense debate between the European tobacco industry and those 
who are against to a crop whose transformed product is dangerous 
to the health. European institutions have shown a strong interest 
in this complex issue introducing two Reforms (1992 and 1998) and 
one revision in 2004. This paper aims to analyse and investigate 
the socio-economic impact of the tobacco CMO Reform of 2004 in 
Italy, across the scenarios proposed by the EC Commission (2004), 
both on the tobacco production and processing sector. The 
considered socio-economic indicators are harvested surfaces, farm 
income and overall employment, while the sample of farms used in 
this research belong to the FADN?Italy sample.
 
Keywords: Tobacco CMO, CAP reform, decoupling, Positive 
          Mathematical Programming
JEL:      Q11 Q12 Q18 J21
Date:     2005
URL:      http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:par:dipeco:2005-ea01&r=agr



6. Protectionism, agricultural prices and relative factor 
   incomes: Sweden?s wage-rental ratio, 1877-1926
  
    Bohlin, Jan (Department of Economic History, School of 
      Business, Economics and Law, G?teborg University)
    Larsson, Svante (Department of Economic History, School of 
      Business, Economics and Law, G?teborg University)

Trends in wage-rental ratios have figured prominently in the 
recent literature on factor price convergence and globalisation 
in the late nineteenth century. In that literature Sweden has 
been described as a free trade country whose wage-rental ratio 
exhibited a distinguished upward trend before World War I. This 
article presents a new series of land prices which indicates an 
increase in land rentals and an evolution of the wage-rental 
ratio more in line with other European protectionist countries. 
We explore the determinants of the Swedish wage-rental ratio and 
assess the relative importance of protectionism and the change in 
the product mix from arable to animal products in Swedish 
agriculture. <p>
 
Keywords: Economic History; Land prices; wages; wage-rental 
          ratio; protectionism; Sweden
JEL:      F20 N13 N53 O47
Date:     2006-12-01
URL:      http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:hhs:gunhis:0007&r=agr



7. Checkerboards and Coase: Transactions Costs and Efficiency in 
   Land Markets
  
    Randall Akee (IZA Bonn and Harvard University)

The Coase theorem emphasizes the role transactions costs play in 
efficient market outcomes. We document inefficient outcomes, in 
the presence of a transactions cost, in southern California land 
markets and the corresponding transition to efficient outcomes 
after the transactions cost is eliminated. In the late 1800s, 
Palm Springs, CA was evenly divided, in a checkerboard fashion, 
and property rights assigned in alternating blocks to the Agua 
Caliente tribe and a non-Indian landowner by the US Federal 
government. Sales and leasing restrictions on the Agua Caliente 
land created a large transactions cost to development on those 
lands; consequently, we observe very little housing investment. 
Non-Indian lands provide a benchmark for efficient outcomes for 
the Agua Caliente lands. Once the transactions cost for Agua 
Caliente lands was removed, there is a convergence between 
American Indian-owned and non Indian-owned lands in both the 
number of homes constructed and the value of those homes.
 
Keywords: land markets, coase theorem, economic development
JEL:      R14 O12
Date:     2006-11
URL:      http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:iza:izadps:dp2438&r=agr



8. Resource Curse in Reverse: The Coffee Crisis and Armed 
   Conflict in Colombia.
  
    Oeindrila Dube (Kennedy School of Government, Harvard 
      Uinversity)
    Juan F. Vargas (Department of Economics, Royal Holloway, 
      University of London and IQSS, Harvard University.)

Between 1998 and 2003 production increases in Brazil and Vietnam 
drove down the price of coffee by 73 percent in global markets, 
triggering the "international coffee crisis". We examine the 
effect of this exogenous price fall on Colombia's civil war, 
exploring whether politically-motivated violencee presented 
different dynamics in the coffee-growing regions relative to the 
non-coffee regions, during the pre-crisis and crisis periods. 
Using a difference-in-difference framework, we find causal 
evidnece that the steep decline in coffee prices substantially 
increased both the incidence and intensity of Colombia's civil 
war. We also propose a simple model linking the price shock to 
violence and empirically examine the relative importance of three 
potential mechanisms. While crop substitution from coffee to coca 
explains very little of the variation, a disproportionate 
increase in poverty in coffee areas is associated with greater 
violence, as is a lower index of institutional development.
 
Keywords: Colombia, Civil War, Coffee Crisis, Difference-in-
          Differences
JEL:      D74 Q1
Date:     2006-12
Date:     2006-12
URL:      http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:hol:holodi:0605&r=agr



9. The success of ?Made in Italy?: an appraisal of quality-
   based competitiveness in food markets
  
    A. Ninni
    M. Raimondi
    M. Zuppiroli

The role of quality is often stressed in explaining the Italian 
success in the international markets for consumption goods. Here 
the proxy for a quality led domain is a strong price rigidity of 
the demand in rich consuming countries for some food imports 
coming from Italy. Our analysis does not support this idea, as 
the usual price competition seems to be quite common also in very 
detailed food markets. It suggests that the quality image of 
Italian goods offers protection for some traditional products, 
but that this protection is not strong enough to counteract price 
competition. Then, the supposed incidence of the qualitatively 
superior Italian products on the total of the Italian products is 
probably overestimated.
 
Keywords: Quality, Italian trade, food
JEL:      F14 L15 L66
Date:     2006
URL:      http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:par:dipeco:2006-ep10&r=agr



10. Perspectives d'?volution des march?s c?r?aliers pour la 
    campagne de commercialisation 2005/2006.
  
    Salifou B. Diarra
    Niama Nango Demb?l? (Department of Agricultural Economics, 
      Michigan State University)

Keywords: food security, food policy, Mali
JEL:      Q18
Date:     2006
URL:      http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:msu:icpwrk:ml-promisam-tn-per&r=agr


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