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From: Angelo Zago (ernad)
Date: 03/17/06


----------------------------------------------------------------------------
NEP: New Economics Papers
Agricultural Economics
----------------------------------------------------------------------------

Edited by: Angelo Zago
           http://ideas.repec.org/e/pza49.html
           Universita degli Studi di Verona
Date:      2006-03-11
Papers:	   11

This document is in the public domain, feel free to circulate it.

   +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
   + Note: Access to full contents may be restricted +
   +         NEP is sponsored by SUNY Oswego         +
   +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

 
In this issue we have:
----------------------------------------------------------------------------

1. Agricultural Trade and the Doha Round: Lessons from Commodity 
   Studies
     Beghin, John C.; Aksoy, Ataman
 
2. Land Use and Water Management in Israel- Economic and 
   environmental analysis of sustainable reuse of wastewater in 
   agriculture
     Nava Haruvy
 
3. Rethinking Agricultural Domestic Support under the World 
   Trade Organization
     Hart, Chad E.; Beghin, John C.
 
4. Virtual water and water trade in Andalusia. A study by means 
   of an input-output model
     Erik Dietzenbacher; Esther Vel?zquez
 
5. Evolving Dairy Markets in Asia: Recent Findings and 
   Implications
     Beghin, John C.
 
6. The Depressing Effect of Agricultural Institutions on the 
   Prewar Japanese Economy
     Fumio Hayashi; Edward C. Prescott
 
7. The demand for Food in South Africa
     Paul Dunne; Beverly Edkins
 
8. Efficient Intra-household Allocations and Distribution 
   Factors: Implications and Identification
     Fran?ois Bourguignon; Martin Browning; Pierre-Andr? 
     Chiappori
 
9. State-contingent modelling of the Murray Darling Basin: 
   implications for the design of property rights
     David Adamson; Thilak Mallawaarachchi; John Quiggin
 
10. Supermarket Pricing Strategies
     Ellickson, Paul; Misra, Sanjog
 
11. Investigating Nonlinear Speculation in Cattle, Corn and Hog 
    Futures Markets Using Logistic Smooth Transition Regression 
    Models
     Andreas R?thig; Carl Chiarella
 
----------------------------------------------------------------------------

1. Agricultural Trade and the Doha Round: Lessons from Commodity 
   Studies
  
    Beghin, John C.
    Aksoy, Ataman

While global analytical approaches to agricultural trade 
liberalization yield large gains for most economies, there are 
substantial variations in the policy regimes across commodities. 
To clarify the multiplicity of distortions and impacts, the World 
Bank?s Trade Department undertook a series of commodity studies.
The studies highlight the important challenges faced by 
negotiating countries in the Doha Round of the World Trade 
Organization (WTO) trade negotiations. The studies provide a 
sharper look at the North-South dimensions of the agricultural 
trade debate, with the North?s trade barriers, domestic support,
and tariff escalation. They also underscore the South-South 
challenges on border protection and the reduced rural income 
opportunities for the lowest-income countries due to policies in 
higher-income countries that depress world prices. Agricultural 
trade liberalization would induce significant price increases for 
most commodities. The studies identify the detrimental effects of 
multilateral trade liberalization for some countries because of 
lost preferential trade agreements and higher prices on net 
consumers of commodities. Given the complexity of specific issues 
in agriculture, as well as the North-South and South-South 
dimensions of distortions, a global solution would be required to 
liberalize these markets. Rather than being self-contained, 
agricultural trade negotiations should involve concessions on 
other sectors and issues (services and intellectual property 
rights for example) to identify overall reform packages palatable 
to all parties.
 
Keywords: agricultural trade liberalization, Doha, World Bank, 
          commodities
JEL:      F1
Date:     2006-03-03
URL:      http://d.repec.or
g/n?u=RePEc:isu:genres:12509&r=agr



2. Land Use and Water Management in Israel- Economic and 
   environmental analysis of sustainable reuse of wastewater in 
   agriculture
  
    Nava Haruvy

We will analyze land use and water management issues in Israel 
by focusing on wastewater irrigation. Irrigation with treated 
effluents has become an important water source in Israel due to 
scarcity of natural water resources. Treated wastewater reuse 
serves as source of water and nutrients and assists with 
wastewater discard. Wastewater also carries pollutants including 
micro and macro organic and inorganic matter and its treatment 
and use should adapt to sustainability criteria. Wastewater 
treatment processes can decrease pollutants levels, while 
salinity is not influenced unless combining relatively expensive 
desalination processes. Advantages of using wastewater in 
irrigation include: supporting agricultural production, highly 
reliable supply, low cost water source, solution for effluent 
disposal and saving of chemical fertilizers. Disadvantages 
include quality problems as related to human health, damage to 
crops, contamination of groundwater, problems related to 
irrigation system, increased water requirement and need for 
continuous follow up and control. The higher is the treatment 
level, the higher are the treatment costs but the environmental 
potential hazards are lower. Regarding sustainable use we will 
assess advantages and disadvantages of treating and irrigating 
with treated effluents. We will focus on the economic and 
environmental analysis of sustainable reuse of wastewater in 
agriculture regarding its impact on groundwater, soil and society.
 
Date:     2005-08
URL:      http://d.rep
ec.org/n?u=RePEc:wiw:wiwrsa:ersa05p376&r=agr



3. Rethinking Agricultural Domestic Support under the World 
   Trade Organization
  
    Hart, Chad E.
    Beghin, John C.

This paper focuses on the third pillar of the Uruguay Round 
Agreement on Agriculture (URAA) of the World Trade Organization (
WTO), the discipline of agricultural domestic support. The paper 
examines the current definition of agricultural domestic support 
used by the WTO, focusing on the Aggregate Measure of Support (
AMS) and other forms of support that are less to least distorting 
Blue and Green Box payments). The analysis looks at the recent 
experience of four member states (the United States, the European 
Union, Japan, and Brazil). The structure of recent support varies 
considerably by country. Some countries, notably the United 
States, have strategically used the de minimis exemption to 
deflate their support figures substantially in order to remain 
within AMS limits, even though total support has exceeded these 
limits. The paper investigates the possible effects of changing 
the definition of the AMS so that it better reflects current 
support conditioned by market forces. If market prices (world 
and/or domestic) were to be used to compute current market 
support, a greater variability of the AMS would result, and 
violations of AMS limits would be more likely given the 
anticyclical nature of policies included in the AMS, especially 
for the United States and European Union.
 
Date:     2006-03-03
URL:      http://d.repec.or
g/n?u=RePEc:isu:genres:12510&r=agr



4. Virtual water and water trade in Andalusia. A study by means 
   of an input-output model
  
    Erik Dietzenbacher (Faculty of Economics, University of 
      Groningen)
    Esther Vel?zquez (Department of Economics, Universidad 
      Pablo de Olavide)

Andalusian agricultural sectors are relatively small, but 
consume by 90% of the available water resources. More than 50% of 
the final demands for agricultural products are exported to other 
Spanish regions or abroad. Using a virtual water concept with an 
input-output framework, we find that a substantial part of the 
Andalusian water consumption is necessary for exports. 
Considering the water content of its trade, Andalusia is found to 
be a net exporter of water, whereas it is an extremely arid 
region. Examining regional policy aspects, a reduction in the 
exports abroad of agricultural products yields considerable 
benefits in terms of water savings and only moderate costs.
 
Keywords: Input-Output Models, Virtual Water, Trade and 
          Sustainability
JEL:      R15 Q25 Q17
Date:     2006-03
URL:      http://d.repec.or
g/n?u=RePEc:pab:wpaper:06.06&r=agr



5. Evolving Dairy Markets in Asia: Recent Findings and 
   Implications
  
    Beghin, John C.

This paper is an overview of important findings regarding the 
ongoing evolution of Asian dairy markets based on a series of new 
economic investigations. These investigations provide systematic 
empirical foundations for assessing Asian dairy markets with 
their new consumption patterns, changing industries, and trade 
prospects under different domestic and trade policy regimes. The 
findings are drawn from four case studies (China, India, Japan, 
and Korea), as well as a prospective analysis of future regional 
patterns of consumption and a policy analysis of trade 
liberalization of Asian dairy markets. The overview distills the 
findings of these new investigations and integrates them in the 
earlier economic literature; it draws policy implications and 
identifies lessons for countries outside of Asia, especially for 
emerging exporters in Latin America.
 
Keywords: Asia, China, dairy, India, Japan, Korea, 
          liberalization, trade integration.
JEL:      F1
Date:     2006-03-03
URL:      http://d.repec.or
g/n?u=RePEc:isu:genres:12506&r=agr



6. The Depressing Effect of Agricultural Institutions on the 
   Prewar Japanese Economy
  
    Fumio Hayashi
    Edward C. Prescott

The question we address in this paper is why the Japanese 
miracle didn't take place until after World War II. For much of 
the pre-WWII period, Japan's real GNP per worker was not much 
more than a third of that of the U.S., with falling capital 
intensity. We argue that its major cause is a barrier that kept 
agricultural employment constant at about 14 million throughout 
the prewar period. In our two-sector neoclassical growth model, 
the barrier-induced sectoral mis-allocation of labor and a 
resulting disincentive for capital accumulation account well for 
the depressed output level. Were it not for the barrier, Japan's 
prewar GNP per worker would have been close to a half of the U.S. 
The labor barrier existed because, we argue, the prewar 
patriarchy, armed with paternalistic clauses in the prewar Civil 
Code, forced the son designated as heir to stay in agriculture.
 
JEL:      E1 O1 O4 N3
Date:     2006-03
URL:      http://d.repec.or
g/n?u=RePEc:nbr:nberwo:12081&r=agr



7. The demand for Food in South Africa
  
    Paul Dunne (School of Economics, University of the West of 
      England)
    Beverly Edkins (University of KwaZulu-Natal)

Food consumption is an important issue in South Africa, not only 
in its relation to poverty and deprivation, but also given the 
importance of nutrition in allowing HIV/AIDS sufferers to lead 
extended, productive lives. With the pressing need to increase 
food security and the enormity of the epidemic, understanding the 
demand for food has become a vital task. It is important that the 
determinants of the demand for food are understood, so that 
responses of household food consumption to changes in the prices 
of foodstuffs, prices of other commodities, and total expenditure 
can be anticipated. There is, however, surprisingly little 
economic research on this topic. This paper provides an empirical 
analysis of the demand for food in South Africa for the years 
1970 to 2002. It uses two modelling approaches, a general dynamic 
log-linear demand equation and a dynamic version of the almost 
ideal demand system to provide estimates of the short- and long-
run price and expenditure demand elasticities.
 
JEL:      E58
Date:     2005-10
URL:      http://d.repec.org
/n?u=RePEc:uwe:wpaper:0509&r=agr



8. Efficient Intra-household Allocations and Distribution 
   Factors: Implications and Identification
  
    Fran?ois Bourguignon (World Bank)
    Martin Browning (Department of Economics, University of 
      Copenhagen)
    Pierre-Andr? Chiappori (Department of Economics, University 
      of Chicago)

This paper provides an exhaustive characterization of 
testability and identifiability issues in the collective 
framework in the absence of price variation; it thus provides a 
theoretical underpinning for a number of empirical works that 
have been developed recently. We first provide a simple and 
general test of the Pareto efficiency hypothesis, which is 
consistent with all possible assumptions on the private or public 
nature of goods, all possible consumption externalities between 
household members, and all types of interdependent individual 
preferences and domestic production technology; moreover, the 
test is proved to be necessary and sufficient. We then provide a 
complete analysis of the identification problem; we show under 
which assumptions it is possible to identify, from the 
observation of the household consumption of private goods, the 
allocation of these goods within the household as well as the 
Engel curves of individual household members.
 
Keywords: intrahousehold allocation; collective models; 
          identification; sharing
JEL:      D13
Date:     2006-02
URL:      http://d.repec.
org/n?u=RePEc:kud:kuieca:2006_02&r=agr



9. State-contingent modelling of the Murray Darling Basin: 
   implications for the design of property rights
  
    David Adamson (Risk and Sustainable Management Group, 
      University of Queensland)
    Thilak Mallawaarachchi (Risk and Sustainable Management 
      Group, University of Queensland)
    John Quiggin (Risk & Sustainable Management Group, School of 
      Economics, University of Queensland)

Questions relating to the allocation and management of risk have 
played a central role in the development of the National Water 
Initiative, particularly as it has applied to the Murray-Darling 
Basin. The central issues of efficiency and equity in allocations 
are best understood by considering water licenses as bundles of 
state-contingent claims. The interaction of property rights and 
uncertainty regarding water flows, production and output prices 
is modelled using a state-contingent representation of production 
under uncertainty. The role of technology and investment in the 
determination of efficient adaptation strategies to manage risks 
is explored using an illustrative example.
 
JEL:      Q24 Q25
Date:     2006-02
URL:      http://d.repec.or
g/n?u=RePEc:rsm:murray:m06_2&r=agr



10. Supermarket Pricing Strategies
  
    Ellickson, Paul
    Misra, Sanjog

Most supermarket firms choose to position themselves by offering 
either "Every Day Low Prices" (EDLP) across several items or 
offering temporary price reductions (promotions) on a limited 
range of items. While this choice has been addressed from a 
theoretical perspective in both the marketing and economic 
literature, relatively little is known about how these decisions 
are made in practice, especially within a competitive environment.
This paper exploits a unique store level dataset consisting of 
every supermarket operating in the United States in 1998. For 
each of these stores, we observe the pricing strategy the firm 
has chosen to follow, as reported by the firm itself. Using a 
system of simultaneous discrete choice models, we estimate each 
store's choice of pricing strategy, conditional on its 
expectation over the choices of its rivals. We find evidence that 
firms cluster by strategy, choosing actions that agree with those 
of its rivals. We also find a significant impact of various 
demographic and firm characteristics, providing some qualified 
support for several specific predictions from marketing theory.
 
Keywords: EDLP, promotional pricing, positioning strategies, 
          supermarkets, discrete games
JEL:      M31 L11 L81
Date:     2006
URL:      http://d.repec.or
g/n?u=RePEc:duk:dukeec:06-02&r=agr



11. Investigating Nonlinear Speculation in Cattle, Corn and Hog 
    Futures Markets Using Logistic Smooth Transition Regression 
    Models
  
    Andreas R?thig (Institute of Economics, Darmstadt 
      University of Technology and Center for Empirical 
      Marcroeconomics, University of Bielefeld)
    Carl Chiarella (School of Finance and Economics, University 
      of Technology, Sydney)

This article explores nonlinearities in the response of 
speculators? trading activity to price changes in live cattle, 
corn, and lean hog futures markets. Analyzing weekly data from 
March 4, 1997 to December 27, 2005, we reject linearity in all of 
these markets. Using smooth transition regression models, we find 
a similar structure of nonlinearities with regard to the number 
of different regimes, the choice of the transition variable, and 
the value at which the transition occurs.
 
Keywords: futures marktes; speculation; nonlinear dynamics; 
          smooth transition regression model
JEL:      G10 G11 C22 C53
Date:     2006-02-01
URL:      http://d.repec.org/
n?u=RePEc:uts:rpaper:172&r=agr


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