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From: Angelo Zago (ernad)
Date: 10/22/06


----------------------------------------------------------------------------
NEP: New Economics Papers
Agricultural Economics
----------------------------------------------------------------------------

Edited by: Angelo Zago
           http://ideas.repec.org/e/pza49.html
           Universita degli Studi di Verona
Date:      2006-09-30
Papers:	   6

This document is in the public domain, feel free to circulate it.

   +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
   + Note: Access to full contents may be restricted +
   +         NEP is sponsored by SUNY Oswego         +
   +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

 
In this issue we have:
----------------------------------------------------------------------------

1. Seasonal Cycles in European Agricultural Commodity Prices
     Jumah, Adusei; Kunst, Robert M.
 
2. Green Revolutions and Miracle Economies : Agricultural 
   Innovation, Trade and Growth
     Brishti Guha
 
3. The Value of Third-Party Certification of Preconditioning 
   Claims at Iowa Feeder Cattle Auctions
     Bulut, Harun; Lawrence, John D.
 
4. Financing and Access in Cooperatives
     REY, Patrick; TIROLE, Jean
 
5. Trade performances, product quality perceptions and the 
   estimation of trade price-elasticities
     Matthieu Crozet; H?l?ne Erkel-Rousse
 
6. Collective Voluntary Agreements and the Production of Less 
   Polluting Products
     Rasha Ahmed; Kathleen Segerson
 
----------------------------------------------------------------------------

1. Seasonal Cycles in European Agricultural Commodity Prices
  
    Jumah, Adusei (Department of Economics and Finance, 
      Institute for Advanced Studies, Vienna, Austria and 
      Department of Economics, University of Vienna, Austria)
    Kunst, Robert M. (Department of Economics and Finance, 
      Institute for Advanced Studies, Vienna, Austria and 
      Department of Economics, University of Vienna, Austria)

This paper explores the seasonal cycles of European agricultural 
commodity prices. We focus on three food crops (barley, soft and 
durum wheat) and on beef. We investigate whether seasonality is 
deterministic or unit-root stochastic and whether seasonal cycle 
for specific agricultural commodities have converged over time. 
Finally, we develop time-series models that are capable of 
forecasting agricultural prices on a quarterly basis. Firstly, we 
find that seasonal cycles in agricultural commodity prices are 
mainly deterministic and that evidence on common cycles across 
countries varies over agricultural commodities. The prediction 
experiments, however, yield a ranking with respect to accuracy 
that does not always match the statistical in-sample evidence.
 
Keywords: Seasonal cycles, Seasonal unit roots, Forecasting, 
          Agricultural commodities
JEL:      C32 C53 Q11
Date:     2006-09
URL:      http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ihs:ihsesp:192&r=agr



2. Green Revolutions and Miracle Economies : Agricultural 
   Innovation, Trade and Growth
  
    Brishti Guha (School of Economics and Social Sciences, 
      Singapore Management University)

The purpose of this paper is to develop a simple model of an 
economy in which growth is driven by a combination of exogenous 
technical change in agriculture as well as by a rising world 
demand for labor-intensive manufactured exports. We explore the 
relative roles of agricultural innovation and rising export 
demand in a model with two traded industrial goods and a non-
traded agricultural good, food. When the non-traded sector uses a 
specific factor, we show that technical change in agriculture may 
be the key to sustained factor accumulation in industry, in 
particular driving intersectoral labor migration. A key 
assumption is a less than unitary price elasticity of demand for 
food. Our results could form a crucial link in capturing the 
story of labor-abundant economies which experienced structural 
transformation and growth through labor-intensive manufactured 
exports, without prior technology breakthroughs in industry. They 
contribute to explaining the massive growth in factor 
accumulation which shows up in some growth accounting studies : 
they may also imply that some of the contribution of ?technical 
progress? is mistakenly attributed solely to factor 
accumulation.
 
Keywords: Structural change, agricultural productivity, labor 
          migration, terms of trade.
JEL:      O3 O4 F1
Date:     2005-09
URL:      http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:siu:wpaper:20-2005&r=agr



3. The Value of Third-Party Certification of Preconditioning 
   Claims at Iowa Feeder Cattle Auctions
  
    Bulut, Harun
    Lawrence, John D.

After controlling a variety of feeder cattle characteristics and 
market and sale conditions, we estimate the price premiums for 
preconditioning (vaccinations and minimum 30 days weaning) claims 
with and without third-party certification (TPC) as $6.15/cwt and 
$3.40/cwt, respectively, in Iowa feeder cattle auctions. These 
premiums differ statistically (p-value less than 0.0001) and 
their difference exceeds the additional participation cost of TPC 
$1/cwt) on average. This indicates that the third party 
certification is valued in the market to credibly signal 
preconditioning investment under asymmetric information.
 
Keywords: Asymmetric information, Feeder cattle auctions, 
          Quality, Signaling, Third party certification.
JEL:      C2 Q1
Date:     2006-09-25
URL:      http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:isu:genres:12683&r=agr



4. Financing and Access in Cooperatives
  
    REY, Patrick
    TIROLE, Jean

JEL:      L2 L3 D7
Date:     2006-06
URL:      http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ide:wpaper:5852&r=agr



5. Trade performances, product quality perceptions and the 
   estimation of trade price-elasticities
  
    Matthieu Crozet (TEAM - Th?ories et Applications en 
      Micro?conomie et Macro?conomie - [CNRS : UMR8059] - 
      [Universit? Panth?on-Sorbonne - Paris I])
    H?l?ne Erkel-Rousse (TEAM - Th?ories et Applications en 
      Micro?conomie et Macro?conomie - [CNRS : UMR8059] - 
      [Universit? Panth?on-Sorbonne - Paris I], DP - Direction 
      de la Pr?vision - [Minist?re de l'Economie des Finances 
      et de l'Industrie])

Traditional trade models ignoring the dimension of product 
quality generally lead to excessively low trade price 
elasticities. In this paper, we show that higher estimated trade 
price elasticities, more in conformity with theory, can be 
obtained by controlling product quality in trade equations. To do 
so, we have estimated trade equations including a product quality 
proxy derived from survey data. Our estimation results, based on 
panel data for the four main EU member States, confirm the part 
played by product quality in the estimation of trade price 
elasticities, at least for traditionally highly differentiated 
products.
 
Keywords: Trade performances ; trade equations ; trade price 
          elasticities ; imperfect competition ;<br />product 
          differentiation ; quality ; unit value indices
Date:     2006-09-20
URL:      http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:hal:papers:halshs-00096826_v1&r=agr



6. Collective Voluntary Agreements and the Production of Less 
   Polluting Products
  
    Rasha Ahmed (University of Connecticut)
    Kathleen Segerson (University of Connecticut)

Recently, some industries have collectively agreed not to 
produce models that do not meet an energy efficiency (and hence 
an environmental) standard. This paper presents a simple model 
that can be used to examine a voluntary collective agreement to 
limit or completely eliminate the low efficiency model of a given 
product (e.g., a low efficiency washing machine). We show that, 
when there is competition between firms, a collective agreement 
to limit or even eliminate production of the polluting model can 
actually increase profits for all firms in the industry. This 
suggests that a collective agreement of this type might actually 
be beneficial to firms, while at the same time improving 
environmental quality. However, the implicit enforcement that 
comes from the public nature of the commitment is necessary to 
ensure this outcome. This suggests that, by promoting such 
agreements, policymakers may be able to achieve substantial 
environmental gains with relatively little inducement. The impact 
on social welfare will then depend on whether these gains are 
sufficiently large to offset consumer losses from reductions in 
product variety and the associated price increases.
 
Keywords: Voluntary agreements, collective agreements, 
          energy/fuel efficiency
JEL:      Q48 Q58
Date:     2006-07
URL:      http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:uct:uconnp:2006-18&r=agr


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