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From: Angelo Zago (ernad)
Date: 10/27/06


----------------------------------------------------------------------------
NEP: New Economics Papers
Agricultural Economics
----------------------------------------------------------------------------

Edited by: Angelo Zago
           http://ideas.repec.org/e/pza49.html
           Universita degli Studi di Verona
Date:      2006-10-21
Papers:	   7

This document is in the public domain, feel free to circulate it.

   +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
   + Note: Access to full contents may be restricted +
   +         NEP is sponsored by SUNY Oswego         +
   +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

 
In this issue we have:
----------------------------------------------------------------------------

1. Economic Liberalization and Rural Land and Labour Markets in 
   India: A Study
     Gandhi Vasant P.
 
2. Political Economy of Electricity Subsidy: Evidence from Punjab
     Jain, Varinder
 
3. Wheat Marketing and its Efficiency in India
     Gandhi Vasant P.; Koshy Abraham
 
4. The Adoption and Economics of Bt Cotton in India: Preliminary 
   Results from a Study
     Gandhi Vasant P.; Namboodiri N.V.
 
5. Comparing Environmental Impact of Alternative CAP Scenarios 
   Estimated Through an Artificial Neural Network
     Andrea BONFIGLIO
 
6. Determining the Regional Economic Values of Ethanol 
   Production in Iowa Considering Different Levels of Local 
   Investment
     Swenson, David A.; Eathington, Liesl
 
7. Does Health Information Matter for Modifying Consumption? A 
   Field Experiment Measuring the Impact of Risk Information on 
   Fish Consumption
     Jutta Roosen; Stephan Marette; Sandrine Blanchemanche; 
     Philippe Verger
 
----------------------------------------------------------------------------

1. Economic Liberalization and Rural Land and Labour Markets in 
   India: A Study
  
    Gandhi Vasant P.

The paper examines the rural land and labour markets in the 
context of economic liberalization in India. Land and labour are 
the two fundamental resources available to the rural people for 
income generation. The access to land and to employment for 
labour become basic determinants of well-being for the rural 
households. Reforms are often seen as hostile to rural areas and 
the poor, although they should be beneficial not only for overall 
growth, but also rural growth and poverty alleviation. The study 
based on primary household data examines the land and labour 
markets in the reform period and the underlying linkages of these 
to different characteristics of the household. The study finds 
that over the reform period in India the land markets are leading 
to less landlessness rather than more, and growth in marginal and 
medium farm sizes rather than large. Lease markets are leading to 
operated land in more hands. Land purchase behaviour is related 
to less land, more education, greater crop diversification, and 
higher crop and livestock revenues. Leasing-in is also related to 
many of the same variables and is showing great diversity in 
lease agreements involving outputs, inputs and rent. Labour-
employment is showing diversity of occupations but the primary 
dependence on agriculture is still about 80 percent. There has 
been some change in the occupational structure. Non-farm 
employment is associated with higher overall employment. Own-farm 
employment is strongly related to crop diversification and 
livestock activity; other farm employment to number of male and 
female family members and irrigation; and non-farm employment to 
education. Broadly, liberalization does not show adverse 
consequences but rather some positive impact on rural land and 
labour markets.
 
Date:     2006-09-29
URL:      http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:iim:iimawp:2006-09-02&r=agr



2. Political Economy of Electricity Subsidy: Evidence from Punjab
  
    Jain, Varinder

The electricity subsidy distribution pattern needs to be 
scrutinised to assess whether the policy benefits small producers,
a normative argument often made while granting any input subsidy.
In Punjab, this policy is found to ignore equity considerations 
while granting non-discriminatory electricity subsidies to the 
agricultural sector. This study highlights the existence of 
disparities in the flow of electricity subsidy between the 
advanced and backward regions. While the medium and large farmers 
reap the major benefits of the subsidy, the poor small farmers, 
especially in the backward areas, remain excluded due to their 
non-possession of electricity connections. In a nutshell, this 
paper questions the justification for introducing such a policy 
and puts forward the case for user charges based on open access 
to electricity.
 
Keywords: Political economy; Electricity Subsidy; Agriculture
JEL:      P26 H23
Date:     2006-09-23
URL:      http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:pra:mprapa:240&r=agr



3. Wheat Marketing and its Efficiency in India
  
    Gandhi Vasant P.
    Koshy Abraham

The study examines the marketing of wheat in India, focusing on 
the private marketing system, the marketing efficiency and 
quality. Wheat is now a major food staple in India, crucial to 
India?s food economy and security. With production reaching 70 
to 75 million tons and a large demand, India?s wheat economy is 
the second largest in the world. The efficiency of marketing is 
crucial to farmer incomes, consumer welfare, as well as 
government budgets and the economy. Substantial changes are 
taking place in the marketing of wheat. The study finds that the 
farmers now almost invariably sell in the nearby primary markets 
rather than to village traders. The farmer choice of varieties is 
now becoming market oriented with quality and market acceptance 
becoming as important as yield. The typically market intermediary 
provides hardly any special, value adding or developmental 
services in return for the commissions and margins. The farmers 
see considerable scope for improvement in the marketing system. 
The consumer demand for wheat varies considerably across the 
country. But wheat has made inroads into food consumption in the 
east and the south. The retailers are increasingly conscious of 
consumer demand and quality, and keep a varietiy of wheat and 
wheat products. Direct buying of wheat grain, storing, and own 
recourse to processing are common in the north and the west, 
whereas direct purchase of wheat products such as flour is the 
norm in the east and the south. The trend is towards direct 
purchase of processed wheat products, and within this from loose 
to packaged branded wheat products. The estimated average total 
marketing cost of wheat is found to be of the order of Rs. 266 
per quintal, and in this transport has the largest share of 40 
percent, commission and taxes make up 25 percent, and wastage 
another 15 percent. When compared to the consumer-farmer price 
spread, the marketing costs account for 74 percent of the spread, 
leaving 26 percent for margins ? this is fairly efficient but 
there is significant scope for improvement. On an average, the 
farmers receive 66 percent of what the consumer pays. The 
government channel marketing cost is reported to be Rs. 309 per 
quintal, but this does not cover the whole chain and is not 
strictly comparable. Examination of the question of market 
integration for wheat is difficult due to data and quality 
difference problems. Co-integration analysis using monthly price 
data for eight markets for the period April 1997 to June 2004 
indicates that nationally the markets are integrated but the LOP (
Law of One Price) does not hold, and the presence of six common 
stochastic trends implies the absence of full pair-wise co-
integration.
 
Date:     2006-09-29
URL:      http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:iim:iimawp:2006-09-03&r=agr



4. The Adoption and Economics of Bt Cotton in India: Preliminary 
   Results from a Study
  
    Gandhi Vasant P.
    Namboodiri N.V.

The paper presents preliminary results from a study of the 
economics and adoption of Bt cotton in India. Biotech crops, 
which made their appearance in the world about a decade ago, have 
gained substantial popularity and acceptance in many parts of the 
world including US, China, Australia, Mexico, Argentina and South 
Africa. However, their introduction in India has been relatively 
late and controversial and they still have considerable ground to 
cover in the country. Cotton is a major commercial crop in India 
but has substantial problems particularly from extensive pest 
damage and poor yields. Bt cotton offers a promising solution to 
these serious problems. Data from the survey, which covered the 
important cotton states of Gujarat, Maharashtra, Andhra Pradesh 
and Tamil Nadu, and 694 farmers, indicates that Bt cotton offers 
good resistance to bollworms as well as several other pests. The 
incidence of these pests is reported to be considerably lower in 
Bt cotton as compared to Non-Bt cotton. The yields of Bt cotton 
are found to be higher and the yield increase/ difference 
statistically significant in all the states under both irrigated 
and rain-fed conditions. As a result, given the good market 
acceptance of the product, the value of output per hectare is 
higher in all the states and conditions. The question of higher 
cost of cultivation exists, and is confirmed, mainly because of 
high seed cost and not commensurate reduction in pesticide cost. 
However, the profit is found to be higher in all the states to 
the estimated extent of about 80-90 percent on an average when 
the effects of associated inputs are included. The returns are 
highest in Maharashtra followed by Gujarat and then Andhra 
Pradesh. Subjective assessment indicates that farmers see 
advantage in Bt cotton in pest incidence, pesticide cost, cotton 
quality, yield and profit. Almost all farmers indicate that they 
plan to plant Bt cotton in the future. To increase the benefits 
from the technology, the farmers strongly urge reduction in the 
seed cost, greater field extension and demonstration work on the 
correct practices, and more Bt cotton varieties to suit the 
diverse agro-ecological settings.
 
Date:     2006-09-29
URL:      http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:iim:iimawp:2006-09-04&r=agr



5. Comparing Environmental Impact of Alternative CAP Scenarios 
   Estimated Through an Artificial Neural Network
  
    Andrea BONFIGLIO ([n.a.])

The paper aims to assess environmental impact produced by 
alternative Common Agricultural Policy (CAP) scenarios in the 
Italian Marche region for the period 2000-2002. Scenarios concern 
alternative hypotheses about direct payments for arable crops 
related to Agenda 2000. For this aim, a Multilayer Feedforward 
Neural Network model (MFNN) was applied. Different from 
traditional models, MFNN is able to analyze complex patterns 
quickly and with a high degree of accuracy. Moreover, MFNN makes 
assumptions about neither the underlying population nor the 
existence of optimising behaviour and uses the data to develop an 
internal representation of the complexity characterising the 
system analysed. The results indicate that direct payments 
produced positive environmental effects compared to the 
hypothesis of absence of direct payments. Moreover, they show 
that it would have been even better, from an environmental point 
of view, if Agenda 2000 had been more radical in comparison to 
the 1992 Mac Sharry reform, by introducing decoupled direct 
payments.
 
Keywords: common agricultural policy, direct payments, 
          environmental impact, neural networks
JEL:      C45 Q18 Q21
Date:     2006-10
URL:      http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:anc:wpaper:269&r=agr



6. Determining the Regional Economic Values of Ethanol 
   Production in Iowa Considering Different Levels of Local 
   Investment
  
    Swenson, David A.
    Eathington, Liesl

This study develops a baseline economic impact model for a 50MGY 
ethanol plant considering all new production inputs and estimated 
net new output in the new economy. The baseline scenario 
presupposes no local ownership in the plant. The research next 
allocates payments to investors back into the study economy to 
simulate different levels of "local" investment and, 
concomitantly, local receipt of profits. For each 25 percent 
increase in local ownership, the model added 29 more jobs to the 
local economy.
 
JEL:      A1 B4
Date:     2006-10-09
URL:      http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:isu:genres:12687&r=agr



7. Does Health Information Matter for Modifying Consumption? A 
   Field Experiment Measuring the Impact of Risk Information on 
   Fish Consumption
  
    Jutta Roosen
    Stephan Marette (Center for Agricultural and Rural 
      Development (CARD)) (Food and Agricultural Policy Research 
      Institute (FAPRI))
    Sandrine Blanchemanche
    Philippe Verger

A field experiment was conducted in France to evaluate the 
impact of health information on fish consumption. A warning given 
to the treatment group revealed the risks of methylmercury 
contamination in fish and also gave consumption recommendations. 
Using difference-in-differences estimation, we show that this 
warning led to a significant but relatively weak decrease in fish 
consumption. However, consumption of the most contaminated fish 
did not decrease despite advice to avoid consumption of these 
types of fish. Accompanying questionnaires show that consumers 
imperfectly memorize the fish species quoted in the warning. The 
results point to the relatively poor efficacy of a complex health 
message, despite its use by health agencies around the world.
 
Keywords: econometrics, field experiment, fish consumption, 
          health information, nutrition. JEL Classification: C9, 
          D8, I1.
Date:     2006-10
URL:      http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ias:cpaper:06-wp434&r=agr


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